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MLB

Marlins vs. Phillies,
9-12-2017 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Miami
Marlins
#954 Philadelphia
Phillies

Tuesday, September 12, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Miami Marlins (68-75 SU, 72-62 O-U, 5th NL East)
vs Philadelphia Phillies (54-89 SU, 65-67 O-U, 5th NL East)

When: Tuesday, Sep 12th, 7:05 PM ET

Line: MIA -125 / PHI +105

Total: 9

TV/Live Stream: MLB.tv, CSN Philadelphia, FSN Florida

Miami and Philadelphia start up a three-game set on Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park. The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight and dropped three games to Atlanta over the weekend. The Phillies haven’t fared much better dropping three out of four to Washington.

Stanton hits just one homer in four-game set against Braves

Miami’s starting pitching has kicked the bucket lately. They’ve surrendered a 6.46 ERA in their relief over the last 10 games and it’s really put a damper on their season. Playoff hopes are gone and the excitement of Giancarlo Stanton’s homers have toned down. He went 2-for-6 on his at-bats on Sunday, but didn’t record a homer. His latest one came on Saturday and his total currently sits at 54 for the season. That’s been his lone homer of the last six games.

Starting pitcher: Left-hander Dillon Peters (0-1, 2.25 ERA)

Peters will make his third start of the season in this matchup. He has dropped both of his outings in his rookie campaign so far and was charged with his first loss on Wednesday against Washington. He gave up three earned runs on six hits through five innings of action. His pitching ratio has been a solid 14 strikeouts to 5 walks over his first couple outings and he gave up his first homer against the Nationals. The Marlins ended up falling 8-1 in the contest.

Hoskins ends up with two homers against Nats

Philadelphia ended a three-game skid by taking down Washington 5-4 on Saturday, but ended up losing 3-2 in the series finale. Pitcher Ben Lively was the only one in on the mound for the finale. He gave up three runs and six hits through eight innings. It was decent, but the offense couldn’t pick things up. Rhys Hoskins went 0-for-4 in the finale, but he was decent in the series overall with two homers and five RBIs in the prior two games.

Starting pitcher: Right-hander Nick Pivetta (5-10, 6.49 ERA)

Pivetta also picked up a loss in his last start. He suffered a defeat against the New York Mets on Wednesday. He gave up six earned runs on 10 hits through five innings. His pitching ratio was a decent five strikeouts to no walks, but it still didn’t help him avoid giving up a slew of runs. He gave up one homer, the first he’s allowed over his last three starts. He threw 111 total pitches before taking the exit. He’s now given up six runs or more in four of his last seven starts (Phillies are 2-5).

Trends

Marlins are:

  • 3-13 in their last 16 against NL East opponents
  • 1-7 in their last 8 games against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30

Phillies are:

  • 5-0 in their last 5 games against left-handed starters
  • 4-0 in their last 4 home games against left-handed starters

This is a hard one to feel either way with struggling teams, but nothing has been working for Miami lately. The better option is to go with the home team, who is finally back after a lengthy road trip.

Pick: PHI +105

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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