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MLB

Marlins vs. Phillies,
9-13-2017 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#903 Miami
Marlins
#904 Philadelphia
Phillies

Wednesday, September 13, 2017 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Miami Marlins (68-75 SU, 72-62 O-U, 2nd NL East)
vs Philadelphia Phillies (54-89 SU, 65-67 O-U, 5th NL East)

When: Wednesday, Sep 13th, 7:05 PM ET

Line: MIA +100 / PHI -110

Total: 8.5

TV/Live Stream: MLB.tv, CSN Philadelphia, FSN Florida

Miami and Philadelphia will continue their second game of the series on Wednesday night at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies have taken four of the last six meetings against the Marlins. Weather forecast calls for a slight chance of rain with temps at 76.5 degrees F.

Marlins pitching costs them more potential wins

Miami’s offense had it going against Atlanta with 25 runs over four games. However, they were still able to win just one of them and it further cements their inability to get to the postseason this year. It didn’t help that their starters all struggled to make it far in their games, except Jose Urena who went 6.1 innings. The rest of them went five innings or less.

Starting pitcher: Right-hander Dan Straily (9-8, 3.95 ERA)

Straily had a no-decision in his last contest against Atlanta on Thursday. He gave up three earned runs (plus one unearned) on seven hits through five innings of action. His pitching ratio ended at three strikeouts to two walks, and his ratio has been rather mediocre of the last three games (12 strikeouts, 7 walks). The bullpen ultimately cost the team as the Marlins ended up losing 6-5. He’s also allowed seven homers over his last five starts, however, Miami is still 3-2 in that stretch.

Eflin transferred to 60-day DL, out for rest of season

Philadelphia’s pitching has posted a rough 6.14 ERA over their last five games, and things aren’t looking good. Relief hurler Jesen Therrien was placed on the 60-day DL on Monday with an elbow injury and is out indefinitely. Starting pitcher Zach Eflin has been transferred to the 60-day DL with his ongoing shoulder issues and will be out for the remainder of the season.

Starting pitcher: Right-hander Aaron Nola (10-10, 3.71 ERA)

Nola had a no-decision against Washington on Thursday. He gave up two earned runs (plus one unearned) on seven hits through 5.1 innings of work. His pitching ratio was a solid eight strikeouts to two walks. That ratio has been off the charts recently with 28 strikeouts to 5 walks over his last four games. However, he’s given up quite a few runs lately allowing five runs or more in three of his last five games. It shouldn’t be a shock to see the Phillies going just 1-4 in that stretch.

Trends

Marlins are:

  • 4-0 in their last 4 games against teams with a winning percentage below 40%

Phillies are:

  • 2-7 in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record
  • 2-12 in their last 14 games on Wednesday

With the offense looking strong lately for Miami, roll with the road team. Their pitching may struggle at times, but the offense always has the ability to bail them out recently.

Pick: MIA +100

Brian Spaen

Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.

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