Reds vs. Cardinals, 9-13-2017 - Expert Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
Cincinnati Reds (62-82 SU, 76-62 O-U, 5th NL Central)
vs St. Louis Cardinals (75-68 SU, 72-63 O-U, 2nd NL Central)
When: Wednesday, Sep 13th, 8:15 PM ET
Line: CIN +149 / STL -165
TV/Live Stream: MLB.tv, FSN Midwest, FSN Ohio
Cincinnati and St. Louis will continue their three-game set on Wednesday night at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals will be just two games back of the Cubs entering Tuesday night’s action, and they’ll hope to get even closer or take the lead int he NL Central outright after this series. St. Louis is currently on a three-game winning streak after sweeping Pittsburgh and have taken three of the last four against Cincinnati.
Price decides not to get ejected, Reds respond with win
It was a brutal series against the New York Mets, but Cincinnati was able to salvage the last of a four-game set, 10-5. Manager Bryan Price paused his argument with umpires in the middle of the seventh inning for God Bless America. After sitting back, he said after the game that he knew it wasn’t the right time to get ejected. The Reds ended up responding with five more runs in the last two innings to seal the victory.
Starting pitcher: Right-hander Tyler Mahle (0-2, 3.60 ERA)
Mahle will make his fourth start ever in this matchup. The Reds have lost all three of his starts in his rookie season, losing a 7-2 affair to the New York Mets back on Thursday. He gave up three earned runs on six hits through four innings — the shortest outing of his young career — after 72 total pitches. His ratio was a dismal two strikeouts to four walks (10 SO, 8 BB this season). It hasn’t helped that the offense has only scored four runs in his 15 total innings.
Molina reels in 5 RBIs in finale against Pirates
St. Louis had 15 total runs and limited Pittsburgh to 4 runs in the important sweep. They’ve now won seven of their last eight games as they try a last-ditch effort to get into the postseason. Catcher Yadier Molina had seven total RBIs in the last two games of the series. He recorded his 16th and 17th homers of the season and went 4-for-7 on his at-bats.
Starting pitcher: Right-hander Jack Flaherty (0-0, 6.00 ERA)
This will be Flaherty’s third ever start in the majors. He hasn’t registered a win, but both games ended up in favor of the Cardinals, and they both happened on the West Coast against the bad NL West opponents. The latest was against San Diego back on Wednesday. He gave up just one earned run on three hits through five innings of work. His pitching ratio ended at a dismal four strikeouts to four walks and he gave up a homer, the second of his young career.
- 12-3-2 on the Over in their last 17 road games
- 41-19-2 on the Over in their last 62 games overall
- 6-1 on the Over in their last 7 home games
- 4-1 on the Over in their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record
With so much inexperience on the mound between both clubs, this could be a high-scoring affair. This especially holds true with the Reds struggling in relief over the past week.
Pick: Over 9
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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