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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians,
9-14-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#919 Detroit
Tigers 9
#920 Cleveland
Indians -175

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Detroit Tigers
M. BOYD

59 - 87

9
W's
12
L's
4.11
ERA
1.1
WHIP

Cleveland Indians
J. TOMLIN

82 - 64

0
W's
3
L's
8.1
ERA
1.6
WHIP

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians

Where and when:  Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio, Friday, 7:10 pm EST

Game one of a three-game weekend set between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Indians will take place at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio, on Friday night beginning at 7:10 pm EST.  The Tigers are currently in third place within the AL Central division while the Indians are in first place.  The Indians would, however, lose a three-game road set versus the red-hot Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday night in suffering a 3-1 loss in the finale.  The Tigers would also lose a three-game home set to the Houston Astros as they would be swept after a 5-4 loss on September 12, 2018.  The Indians have dominated the Tigers this season as they have won 12 of the last 16 meetings to where the O/U would be 8-8 during this time.  The Indians would pick up the series win in a three-game set in their last outing versus Detroit on July 29th as they would outscore the home team 17-6.

However, in their last meeting at Progressive Field, the Indians would get the sweep on June 24th as Cleveland would plate 26 runs compared to only three for the Tigers.  In all, Detroit has lost four-straight and would love to get back into the win column while the Indians have won five of their last nine games, yet, have lost four of their last six contests to where they would plate only 21 runs while their pitching has allowed an average of 4.3 runs per game to their opponents.

Solid outing for Boyd in no decision

Matthew Boyd (9-12) would pitch seven solid innings while allowing a run on two hits in a 4-3 home win versus the St. Louis Cardinals on September 8, 2018, yet, would end up with the no-decision  He has gone at least six innings in each of his last starts while being charged with 14 earned runs on 26 hits over his last 37.1 innings.  Boyd would also pitch seven innings while allowing one run on three hits in a 2-1 loss at Progressive Field on April 10th as he would also pick up a no decision; however, he would get the loss in his last outing versus the Indians in surrendering six runs on eight hits in only three innings of work on June 24, 2018.

While Boyd has been one of the most solid pitchers within the Detroit staff this year, he has given up four homers in his last three starts, overall.  Michael Brantley (.364 on 11 AB), Melky Cabrera (.300 on 20 AB), Yan Gomes (.300 on 10 AB), and Francisco Lindor (.400 on 20 AB) have had much success versus Boyd in the past for the Indians while Brandon Guyer holds a .188 average on 16 at bats versus the righty.  Jose Ramirez is .313 on 16 at bats versus Boyd, also.

Reliever Tomlin to start for Indians

Josh Tomlin (1-5) will get the start for the Indians in the opener of this series and will be looking to extend his teams dominance over the Tigers.  Tomlin was demoted to reliever after going 0-4 to begin the season while allowing 27 earned runs on 46 hits over 37.2 innings.  He would also allow 14 homers in six games as a starter for the Indians to begin the year.  He will now look to make an impact in relief status in hopes that he can return to the rotation.  The problem is that even as a reliever, Tomlin continues to give up runs as he would allow 11 earned runs in his last 10.3 innings while Cleveland would go 1-9 in his last 10 starts overall.  He would, however, pitch well in his last outing versus the Tigers as he would go one inning while surrendering no hits or runs in a 12-2 home win on June 24, 2018.  Nick Castellanos (.324 on 34 AB) and Victor Martinez (.259 on 27 AB) have had the most experience and success versus Tomlin for the Tigers.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Tomlin has been awful at the mound this year.  As the statistics show, he has had trouble getting out of innings due to his susceptibility to constantly give up hits to his opponents.  With that being said, I expect this Cleveland squad to fall in this matchup due to his inconsistency at the mound on Friday night.  And while Boyd has not had much success facing some of the big bats for the Indians, I expect him to hold his own in this matchup while his offense will proceed to tag Tomlin during his time on the hill.

Prediction: Pick:  Detroit Tigers

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

With Tomlin coming to the mound, I will certainly pick the over as the strong play in this contest as runs will certainly be the norm, judging by his past outings as a starter.  Furthermore, Detroit has much experience facing Tomlin in the past and have had tons of success against him in recent outings, thus allowing me to feel great about predicting that the scoreboard will light up early in favor of the road team in Friday’s opener.

Prediction: Pick: Over

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

While the Indians have dominated this series in recent outings, I will not only back the Tigers to keep this game close, but, I happen to think that they may even win this game outright.  The fact is that Tomlin has been too inconsistent all year and I simply cannot trust him to deliver in this instance.  Besides, Boyd has struggled as well, yet, I have much more confidence in him to get the win in this matchup.

Prediction: Pick: Detroit Tigers +1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

The bats for Cleveland have had some success facing Boyd in the past, and I expect them to get some runs going early in this contest.  Nonetheless, as stated, Tomlin has been all over the place at the mound and will allow the Tigers to remain in this game.  Furthermore, Tomlin has been so terrible recently that I will expect the Tigers to possess a small lead at the halfway mark of this game, overall.

Prediction: Pick: Detroit Tigers +0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

So, while I trust Boyd much more in this instance to get the job done on the mound, I happen to believe that he will indeed give up some runs to the red hot Indian’s lineup.  Of course, we know the story behind Tomlin already, thus explaining my pick for this prop.  In all, I will back the over in what will indeed be a high-scoring game.

Prediction: Pick: Over 5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

I will back the plus money with the Tigers after five innings to possess the lead as I have little to no confidence that the Indians will be able to gain any type of consistency going with Tomlin on the mound.  In fact, in his last 10 games, Tomlin has only pitched 10.3 innings in relief while giving up at least a run in six of those games.  Simply put, he has struggled mightily and I see this continuing on Friday.

Prediction: Pick: Detroit Tigers +150

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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