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Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies
MLB: Friday, September 14th, 2018, Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 7:05 PM ET
The Miami Marlins lost three out of the previous four games including the one to the New York Mets when they failed to score and conceded 13 runs in return. On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies are struggling in September as they lost nine out of 11 games including the last five, and they will be looking to bounce back against the underdog Marlins on this one.
The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Wei-Yin Chen for the Miami Marlins against the Philadelphia Phillies’ Zach Eflin. First pitch was set for 7:05 PM ET.
The Marlins were kept off the scoreboard in the loss to the Mets
Miami beat the New York Mets in the opening game of the series on the road but they suffered a heavy defeat in the following clash as the Mets destroyed them, 13-0. The Marlins recorded just five hits and won miserable five bases in opposite to New York’s 27, so it wasn’t surprising to see the least efficient offense in the MLB to leave the Big Apple with zero runs on their account. Miami is averaging only 3.68 runs per game so it’s going to be hard for the visitors to outscore Philly who is struggling offensively at the moment but still has the better offense than the Marlins.
Wei-Yin Chen is set to start against the Philadelphia Phillies, and he’s coming from a 2-1 record in 2017, a 3.82 ERA, a 1.03 WHIP, nine walks, and 25 strikeouts in nine games in total (five starts). Chen started 23 games in this season and has six wins and ten losses as he pitched 118 innings, allowing 114 hits and 65 runs with 42 walks and 98 strikeouts.
The Phillies are eager to avoid the sixth consecutive defeat
Philadelphia lost the final two games of the series with the New York Mets and then suffered three more defeats to the Washington Nationals who swept them at home. The Phillies disappoint once again as they won only nine bases in opposite to Washington’s 21 and scored just one run in the fifth inning, which was not enough to avoid a 5-1 loss. The Phillies’ offense is not playing well right now, but the defense is a concern as they conceded five or more runs in four out of the last five games. Philadelphia is allowing 4.37 runs per contest and they should be able to control Miami’s ineffective offense here.
Zach Eflin is set to start against the Miami Marlins, and he’s coming from a 1-5 record in 2017, a 6.16 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, 12 walks, and 35 strikeouts in 11 games overall. Eflin started 21 games in this campaign and has nine wins and seven losses as he pitched 114 innings, allowing 117 hits and 63 runs with 30 walks and 107 strikeouts.
- 7-3 in their last ten games played on Friday
- 13-6 in their last 19 games vs. an opponent with a winning percentage below .400
- 8-19 in their last 27 vs. National League East rivals
- 3-12 in their last 15 during game one of a series
- 1-6 in their last seven games played on Friday
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Philadelphia won 13 out of the previous 20 H2H encounters including five out of the last seven, while the Phillies were victorious in nine out of the past ten meetings at the Citizens Bank Park. The Marlins are 0-4 in Chen’s last four starts vs. Phillies and the recent tradition is clearly against them, so I am backing the hosts to get a victory here. Miami’s impotent offense is their main problem but the Phillies defense is far from being impressive lately, so it’s going to be interesting to see how the visitors will fare on this one. Philadelphia must cut out defensive errors and improve in the offense and they will have no trouble to beat the Marlins.
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (-170)
Full-Game Total Pick
When it comes to the points, under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings; under is 5-0-1 in Phillies previous six Friday games, under is 5-1 in Marlins last six games following a loss, while under is 8-3 in Marlins previous 11 vs. National League East opponents.
Prediction: Under 8.5 (-120)
Full-Game Prop Bet
Miami scored more than three runs in just one out of the previous seven games and although the Phillies’ defense is not playing very well lately, they should limit the visitors to under 3.5 runs on this one.
Prediction: Team Totals: Miami Marlins Under 3.5 (-115)
First Five Innings Side Pick
Philadelphia was up after the first five innings in only one out of the last five games, while that’s the same case with the Marlins, so picking a winner after the opening five innings is a bit tricky. However, I am giving the advantage to the hosts.
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies (-180)
First Five Innings Total Bet
Four of the Phillies’ five games produced more than four runs in the first five innings and even though I expect to see under 8 in the end, the rivals should combine for at least five in the opening five innings.
Prediction: Over 4.5 (-110)
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Three of Philly’s last five didn’t produce a single run in the opening inning, while all of the Marlins’ previous five games failed to produce a score in the first inning, so I am backing them not to score early in the game.
Prediction: A Run in the 1st Inning: NO (-105)