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Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
MLB: Friday September 14, 2018 at 8:10 p.m. ET
The Pirates had lost two straight before avoiding a sweep in their last series with a win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Bucs are well out of the playoff race, but they can get to .500 with a win in this NL Central matchup. Pittsburgh had given up 19 runs in losing two straight before only giving up three runs in their last game.
The Brewers are in the heart of the playoff race, as they are in 2nd place in the NL Central only one game back of the Chicago Cubs and they hold the top spot in the NL Wild Card. They have won five of their last six games and their pitching has been superb as of late. In their last six games, the Brew Crew has only given up a total of 14 runs. The Pirates have won six of their last eight games facing the Brewers.
Good pitching equals win
In their last game, the Pirates were on the road and they beat the St. Louis Cardinals 4-3 where they got a good game on the hill. They gave up three runs on seven hits Jameson Taillon notching his 4th win in as many starts giving up two earned runs on four hits in seven innings of work. Chris Archer (4-7 4.56 ERA) gets the starting nod in this game and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs on five hits in six innings in a 5-3 win over the Miami Marlins.
The Bucs had lost his previous four starts, but in two of them he only gave up one earned run in each and in the other two was lit up for 10 earned runs. Archer’s worst start since coming to Pittsburgh in a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays in late August came against the Brewers on August 26th where he gave up six earned runs in four innings in a 7-4 Pirates loss. In seven starts since coming to the Bucs Archer is 1-2 with an ERA of 5.24. Gregory Polanco leads Pittsburgh in HR and RBI and he is out for the season set for shoulder surgery on Thursday. This season the Pirates are 32-29 on the road.
Insurance in the 9th
In their last game, the Brewers beat the Chicago Cubs 5-1 where they were only up 2-1, but scored three runs for insurance in the 9th inning. they scored five runs on 11 hits and Curtis Granderson was 3 for 4 and went deep. Gio Gonzalez (8-11 4.40 ERA) gets his 2nd start for Milwaukee after a solid first one. In his first start for his new club, Gonzalez did not give up any earned runs and only allowed three hits in five 2.3 innings in a 4-3 win over the San Francisco Giants. In three of his last five starts for the Washington Nationals before being traded to Milwaukee he gave up at least five earned runs in three of them. While with the Nats Gonzalez made one start against the Pirates giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Jesus Aguilar leads the Brew Crew in both HR and RBI, but he has gone 10 games without going deep and five games without a RBI.
The Milwaukee Brewers are:
- 5-1 in their last 6 overall
- 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter
- 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record
- 43-21 in their last 64 home games
The Pittsburgh Pirates are:
- 1-4 in their last 5 road games
- 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record
- 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Brewers are still in the playoff race and Gonzalez will help that cause with a solid start in this outing. While Archer will not get lit up he will give up some runs. The Brew Crew will get the win in Game 1 of this series and deny the Bucs getting to .500.
Prediction: PICK: Brewers
Full-Game Total Pick
With a good pitching match up with Archer going up against Gonzalez I have to take the Under I this game, as runs will be at a premium.
Prediction: PICK: Under