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Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres
MLB: Friday, September 14th, 2018, Petco Park, San Diego, California, 10:10 PM ET
The Texas Rangers have been awful lately as they lost seven out of the previous nine games including the last two to the Los Angeles Angels. On the other hand, the San Diego Padres are in a three-game winning streak as they beat the Cincinnati Reds and surprised the Seattle Mariners with a couple of victories on the road.
The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Connor Sadzeck for the Texas Rangers against the San Diego Padres’ Robbie Erlin. First pitch was set for 10:10 PM ET.
The Rangers’ offense was misfiring again
Texas opened the series with the Los Angeles Angels with a 5-2 win but they scored a miserable one run in the following two clashes. The Rangers needed seven innings to score the only run in an 8-1 defeat on Wednesday and if they continue with such poor offensive displays, even San Diego’s defense that allows 4.76 runs per contest will be able to stop them.
Connor Sadzeck is set to start against the San Diego Padres, and the 26-year-old rookie pitcher played five games in this season (no starts) and has a 0-0 record at the moment as he pitched three innings, allowing three hits and a run with three walks and two strikeouts.
The Padres are looking for the fourth win in a row
San Diego bounced back from a couple of defeats to the Cincinnati Reds with three straight wins, the last two of which were surprising as they beat the Seattle Mariners on the road. The Padres exploited their opportunities to score five runs, while their defense limited the Mariners to four runs, which is a great achievement for the D that allows 4.76 runs per contest. Texas is conceding 5.30 runs per game on average and the hosts will surely have a chance to score more than five and beat the Rangers here.
Robbie Erlin is set to start against the Texas Rangers, and the 27-year-old pitcher played 36 games in 2018 (nine starts) and has three wins and six losses as he pitched 93 innings, allowing 97 hits and 50 runs with ten walks and 75 strikeouts.
- 4-0 in their last four vs. American League West rivals
- 6-0 in their last six games following an off day
- 4-0 in their last four interleague games
- 2-6 in their last eight interleague games played on the road
- 1-4 in their last five games following a loss
- 1-4 in their last five during game one of a series
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
San Diego won five out of the previous 12 H2H encounters including two out of the last four, while the Padres were victorious in four out of the past five meetings at the Petco Park. The Rangers are struggling offensively at the moment and even though they are facing one of the leakiest defenses in the National League that allows 4.76 runs per game, I am backing the hosts to hold their ground and pile more misery on Texas who is playing in a quite cold form at the moment.
Prediction: San Diego Padres (-150)
Full-Game Total Pick
When it comes to the points, under is 4-1 in the last five meetings; under is 5-0 in Padres previous five during game one of a series, under is 4-0 in Padres last four games following an off day, while under is 5-2-1 in Rangers previous eight vs. National League West opponents.
Prediction: Under 8 (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
San Diego scored more than four runs in four out of the last six games, while Texas conceded more than four in five out of their previous seven, so I am backing the hosts to score at least five on this one.
Prediction: Team Totals: San Diego Padres Over 4.5 (+115)
First Five Innings Side Pick
The Padres were up after the first five innings in just one out of the last five games, but the Rangers’ situation is not better by any means, so I decided to back San Diego to have a lead after the first five innings.
Prediction: San Diego Padres (-155)
First Five Innings Total Bet
Four of San Diego’s last five games produced more than four runs in the opening five innings, and although I expect to see under 8 in the end, I believe the rivals could combine for 5+ runs in the first five here.
Prediction: Over 4.5 (+100)
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
However, only one of the Padres’ last five games produced a score in the first inning, so I am going with a quiet opening inning here and no runs.
Prediction: A Run in the 1st Inning: NO (-115)