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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction,
and Odds - 9-16-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#977 Arizona
Diamondbacks 205
#978 Los Angeles
Angels -205

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 9:40pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Angels

The Arizona Diamondbacks face off against the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday in the middle contest of a three-game set at Angel Stadium, as we’re about to see a clash of two hapless teams. Both Arizona and LA were alive in the playoff race on Tuesday, but that’s not going to last for a long.

The Diamondbacks were sitting bottom of the NL West with a 17-31 record and 6.5 games behind the wild-card spot in the National League. The 20-28 Angels were fourth in the AL West and 6.5 games behind the bottom wild card in the American League.

These two interleague foes meet each other for the first time since 2018 when the D-backs won the four-game regular-season series 3-1.

Arizona’s free fall continues

Excluding the opening contest of this series, the Diamondbacks have dropped 20 of their previous 24 games overall. That run tells you enough about how good the D-backs have been playing lately. Furthermore, they’ve scored more than three runs only five times over their last 17 showings.

The Diamondbacks are 25th in the majors in runs scored per game (4.06) while posting the fourth-worst slugging percentage of .364. They’ve struggled mightily over the last two weeks and since trading Starling Marte to the Marlins.

On the other side, Arizona is 20th in runs allowed per game (5.08), and the D-backs bullpen owns the eighth-worst ERA in baseball (4.94). Caleb Smith will get his third start of the season Wednesday night, and the lefty has a 3.00 ERA and 1.50 WHIP across just six innings.

It might be too late for LA

The Angels have won eight of their last 11 games, but their playoff chances are still thin. During that 11-game span, the Angels have swept a four-game series against the Astros. They are coming off two straight road wins over the Rockies, and the Angels will look to extend their streak.

Their next seven games will come against Arizona and Texas at home, but the last five games of the season would be an ultimate challenge, as Halos visit the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers.

Anyway, the Angels will certainly try their best to win everything they can. Dylan Bundy will toe the slab Wednesday against the D-backs, and the righty is undoubtedly the Angels’ best starter in 2020. He’s 5-2 with a 2.48 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, and 67/13 K/BB ratio in nine starts and 58 frames of work.

The Angels’ relievers have the ninth-worst ERA in the majors (4.87), but Bundy can take the distance, and he already pitched a complete game in August. Dylan was terrific last Sunday, tallying a win against Texas while striking out 12 in 7.1 innings of work.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Although I feel like choosing from two bad teams, the Angels have been playing well over the last few weeks, while the Diamondbacks have been one of the worst teams in the majors, for sure. 

Also, I like Dylan Bundy’s consistency in 2020. If he puts on another strong performance, and I believe Bundy will do fine against this Arizona lineup, the Angels’ will have a great chance to win the game. 

The Angels average 4.85 runs per game (12th in baseball), so the Diamondbacks could have a long day in Anaheim. Caleb Smith will last five innings top, and that’s the best scenario, while Arizona’s bullpen cannot be trusted.

Prediction: Los Angeles Angels (-185)

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Full-Game Total Pick

The Angels have scored five or more runs in seven of their previous 10 outings excluding the opener of this series. The over is 5-3-2 in that stretch, but the under is 3-1-0 over the last four games. 

I’ve mentioned Arizona’s offensive woes, and the D-backs could easily struggle against Dylan Bundy. The righty won both his career starts against Arizona while posting a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP across 11 innings.

It’s a tough wager, but I’m going with the under, relying on what I saw from Bundy and Arizona’s offense this season. I think the Angels will hit well against Caleb Smith and the Diamondbacks’ bullpen but I‘m not sure that would be enough for 10 or more runs in total.

Prediction: Under 9.0 (-115)

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