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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction,
and Odds - 9-16-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#965 New York
Mets -160
#966 Philadelphia
Phillies 160

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies will try to battle through injuries as they go and attempt to compete against Jacob deGrom and the New York Mets. Philadelphia is without Jay Bruce, Roman Quinn, and Rhys Hoskins while they’re all on the Injured List. J.T. Realmuto is also a question mark for the game while he is dealing with a hip injury. They look to battle against their division-rival New York Mets in their second-to-last regular-season meeting.

The Mets are playing .500 ball of late and are attempting to jump a few ball clubs as they try to secure a Wild Card spot. In order to finish .500 for the season, they need to be 9-4 in their final 13 games. The Mets have been led offensively by Dominic Smith this season who is 5th in baseball with a 1.033 OPS. It always helps to have a dominant pitcher on the mound and deGrom will be on the bump.

Three’s Company?

Jacob deGrom has been one of the best pitchers of the 21st century and could find himself in unique company if he finishes the season with a third consecutive NL Cy Young Award. Only Randy Johnson and Greg Maddux have won the Cy Young Award in three straight seasons. If deGrom continues to succeed this season, he has a great shot at doing so. He has a 1.67 ERA and .173 batting average against this season.

Usually, the Mets struggle to give deGrom run support, but 2020 has been a different scenario as the team has won while he is pitching. Phillies’ batters aren’t having much success against him as J.T. Realmuto has a .160 batting average while both Didi Gregorius and Jean Segura have .200 averages. The only Phillies player with good numbers against him is Bryce Harper, who is 10-for-34 with a pair of homers off him.

Phillies Lineup Hopes to Carry Bullpen

The Phillies have been struggling as they have an unfair September schedule. They are in the midst of playing 27 games in 24 days, including 11 games in nine days and will need their bullpen to step up. Unfortunately for them, the Phillies have a 7.18 ERA from their bullpen this season entering this series with the Mets.

There’s one reason the Phillies hold a playoff spot and that’s because of their offense. Rhys Hoskins has been their hottest hitter in the last 30 days but is heading to the IL with a UCL injury. J.T. Realmuto also was one of their better hitters but is dealing with a hip issue. Alec Bohm has also been thriving in that timespan with a .330 average with 18 RBI. The Phillies are averaging 4.6 runs per game in September coming into the series.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

The Mets have dominated this season when Jacob deGrom is on the mound. There are only two Phillies with good lifetime numbers off deGrom as Bryce Harper is 10-for-34 with a pair of homers and backup catcher Andrew Knapp is 2-for-6 with a triple. The Phillies bullpen is terrible and their offense will be slowed down. Expect a multiple-run victory from the Mets to make things interesting for the playoff seeding. 

Prediction: New York -145

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Full-Game Total Pick

With Jacob deGrom on the mound the Phillies are going to struggle to get baserunners, let alone score some runs. However, the Philadelphia Phillies are going to have to rely on their bullpen for a chunk of this game. When these two teams last met earlier this month in Queens for four games, the Mets scored 30 runs (7.5 runs a game). The Mets have blown 7-of-15 save opportunities. This game will go to the bullpens and it could be a long day to be a pitcher. 

Prediction: Over 7.5

Arthur L.

After playing sports throughout most of middle school, high school and college, Arthur has been writing about sports for nearly a decade. With years of experience he has built an interest in the betting world with a passion for writing on his back and has now landed with us here at StatSalt & Winners & Whiners.

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