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Oakland Athletics vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction,
and Odds - 9-16-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Oakland
A's 125
#954 Colorado
Rockies -125

Wednesday, September 16, 2020 at 3:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

The Colorado Rockies started the season on a tear, holding the NL West lead one quarter of the way through the season. The Rockies then hit a skid in August, losing nine of 10 games from August 14-23. Colorado never recovered from that skid although their cumulative effort has them just 1.5 games behind the Giants for the final wildcard spot in the National League. The race for that wildcard spot is a five team affair between the Giants, Reds, Mets, Rockies, and Brewers. Colorado controls their destiny despite having a tough road, as a key series against the Giants awaits the Rockies after their weekend series with the Dodgers. But playing the AL and NL West division leaders in consecutive series will be a tough task for this Rockies team.

Since having four games from August 30th to September 3rd postponed because of COVID-19, the Oakland A’s have embarked on a grueling 13 day stretch in which they will end up playing 16 games. Thursday, the team’s first off day since the September 3rd postponement, will be Oakland’s first off day, and it cannot get here quick enough. The pitching staff has held up well through the stretch, helping the team go 8-6 heading into Tuesday’s game. The quick two game series against the Rockies will wrap up the eight game road trip for the A’s, who will face the Giants, Dodgers, and Mariners to end the regular season.

The Rockies won the first two games of the season series back in July when the Rockies were hot. Tuesday’s game was the first between the two teams in hitter friendly Coors Field.

A’s Looking for Offense in Coors Field

Oakland’s formula for success this season has been solid pitching and the long ball. Over the past two weeks, the A’s have struggled somewhat on offense, but a good offensive showing in Texas has the A’s trending upward. Over the past seven games, the A’s have slashed .244/.345/.419 with 12 home runs, and now get to play in hitter-friendly Coors Field. Sean Murphy has been on a tear, hitting .357 with a 1.312 OPS and two homers over his past seven games. Marcus Semien’s .281 road average with five home runs is the best road split for the team. The A’s did take a big hit on offense last week when the team announced that Matt Chapman had surgery on his neck, likely ending his 2020 campaign.

The A’s will send Mike Fiers to the mound. Fiers has a 5.24 FIP and a 1.417 WHIP, and his 5.6 k/9 rate is the lowest of his career. Fiers is coming off a win against Texas in which he completed six innings, allowing four runs on six hits while striking out five and walking two. This will be Fiers’s first start against Colorado in 2020.

Rockies Window Closing Fast If They Don’t Win This Series

While the Rockies figure to have somewhat of an opportunity to make the playoffs if they lose this series, the road will be much tougher with must-win games against Major League Baseball’s best team in the Dodgers. The A’s are vulnerable, as they have been on a 13 day, 16 game grind heading into Coors Field, which is renowned for straining pitching staffs. Helping the cause is German Marquez, who gets the start tonight. Marquez is coming off a seven-inning performance in which he allowed two runs on six hits while striking out five. Earlier this season, Marquez earned a win in Oakland with a six-inning, one-run performance in which he struck out eight A’s batters.

Supporting Marquez will be Charlie Blackmon, whose 1.143 OPS and .400 average over the past seven games leads the team. Trevor Story has hit .353 with four home runs at Coors Field to lead a Rockies lineup that slashes .288/.337/.467 at home with a .338 BABIP.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I like the Rockies in this one with German Marquez on the mound. Marquez has superior stuff and should get the strikeout prone A’s to swing and miss multiple times in this game. Fiers is a crafty veteran who knows how to pitch, but Coors Field does not favor pitchers with low strikeout rates. I expect the Rockies to provide enough support for Marquez to get the win in this one.

Prediction: Colorado -120

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Full-Game Total Pick

It’s not too often that the UNDER is a smart play in Colorado, but a 12 run total is a bit high. UNDER totals in Marquez’s starts this season are 8-2-1. The total has also gone UNDER in four of the last five games between Colorado and Oakland at Coors Field. Lastly, neither offense is hot coming into this series, which may give the pitchers an upper hand in this one.

Prediction: UNDER 11.5

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