The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox will wrap up their season series on Thursday at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. The White Sox took the first two games of this current four-game series by scores of 3-1 on Monday and 6-2 on Tuesday. The Twins won the third game of the series 5-1 on Wednesday night. Heading into the final head to head match-up, The Twins lead the current season series 5-4.
The Chicago White Sox are 32-17 on the season, which is the best record in the American League, and lead the Twins by two games.
Minnesota's strong pitching has not carried over on the roadThe Twins have been the best team in baseball at home but have seen tremendous struggles on the road where they are only 10-15. While the offense has been relatively consistent, the Twins pitching staff has not performed well away from Target Field. Minnesota has a 2.62 team ERA at home, which is the best in baseball. On the road, the Twins have a 5.03 team ERA, with a bullpen ERA of 5.06.
The Twins will turn to starting pitcher Kenta Maeda on Thursday, who is 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA on the season. Maeda has been solid on the road posting a 3-1 record and 3.45 ERA in five starts and is also 1-1 with a 4.21 ERA in three daytime games. Against Chicago, Maeda has made two career starts and is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA.
Offensively the Twins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 20th in MLB, batting .244, which is 17th but are fifth with 75 home runs. Individually, Nelson Cruz has led the way with an MVP-caliber season at the age of 40. Cruz is batting .322 with 16 home runs, 32 RBI, and a .413 on-base percentage leading the squad in each category.
Sox are White-HotThe White Sox picked up their sixth straight victory on Tuesday before Wednesday's loss and have won 10 of their last 12 games overall. Outside of the Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago has gotten the best balance of dynamic pitching and hitting combined. As a team, the Sox have a .275 batting average, second in MLB, along with 80 home runs and 5.5 runs per game, both fourth-best in baseball.
Who’s your MVP?— Chuck Garfien (@ChuckGarfien) September 16, 2020
Jose Abreu: .328/.370/.621
165 OPS+. 2.1 WAR.
Leads MLB in hits and RBIs.
Tim Anderson: .377/.414/.605.
175 OPS+. 2.4 WAR
Leads AL in runs
Shortstop Tim Anderson has been tremendous, currently in line for the batting title with a .373 AVG, with eight home runs, 19 RBI, and five steals. The White Sox lineup has gotten great production from several players in the order. Jose Abreu could be the future AL-MVP, batting .327, while leading the way in the power departments with 16 home runs and 49 RBI. Outfielder Eloy Jimenez is third on the team with a .306 batting average and second with 13 home runs and 37 RBI. Luis Roberts leads the team with eight stolen bases and has 11 home runs and 30 RBI.
The White Sox have announced Reynaldo Lopez as the starter for Thursday. Lopez is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA on the season. As a team, Chicago has a 3.43 ERA, which is the third-best in baseball, and a 3.66 bullpen ERA.
- White Sox are 1-3 against the Twins following their last 4 head-to-head wins against the Twins
- Twins are 7-2 in Maeda's 9 starts this season
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Twins have struggled on the road this season, mostly due to their poor pitching. Maeda, however, has performed well against the White Sox in the past and has been solid on the road.
Reynaldo Lopez has not seen a lot of success against the Twins. In nine career starts against them, he is just 1-6 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
It is tough to go against the White Sox at home, but the edge with Maeda going against Lopez is substantial.
Prediction: Minnesota Twins
Full-Game Total Pick
The White Sox have played to the under in 53% of their games, and Minnesota has been the best team in all of baseball for unders this year, with 67% of their games falling below the total. The last five head-to-head games between these two teams have also gone under.
We don't know what the total number is yet, but the last five starts that Kenta Maeda has made for Minnesota have gone under.