Royals vs. Blue Jays, 9-19-2017 - Expert Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
Kansas City Royals (73-76 SU, 70-73 O-U, 3rd AL Central)
vs Toronto Blue Jays (70-80 SU, 67-76 O-U, 5th AL East)
When: Tuesday, Sep 19th, 7:07 PM ET
TV/Live Stream: MLB.tv, FSN Kansas City
Kansas City and Toronto begin a three-game set on Tuesday night at the Rogers Centre. The Royals are five games out of the wild card spot and have entered desperation mode after dropping three out of four against Cleveland. The Blue Jays’ long streak of great pitching ended with a 13-7 defeat against Minnesota.
Royals able to defeat Indians once, and that’s the lone highlight
Kansas City lost four of their last five games as they see their postseason hopes continue to decline. The offense is averaging just 3 runs per 9 innings in their last five games. Granted, the last four games have been against Cleveland and being able to take them down just once is a pretty nice accomplishment. They scored 12 runs against them over the four-game set, and they were very competitive with them with the exception of an 8-4 defeat on Saturday.
Starting pitcher: Right-hander Sam Gaviglio (4-5, 4.35 ERA)
Gaviglio had a win in his last start against the Chicago White Sox. He had two earned runs on seven hits through five innings and did a solid job getting the win. His pitching ratio ended at five strikeouts to no walks and he didn’t give up a homer for the first time in his last six starts. This was only his second start with the Royals, but he’s done a fairly good job with his new club. His team had just enough offense to prevail in the 4-3 victory. The win also ended a five-game losing skid among the two clubs.
Outstanding Blue Jays pitching dismantled in finale
Toronto’s pitching had a stretch of allowing just three runs or less for seven straight games, but that concluded with a 13-7 defeat in the series finale against Minnesota. Starter Joe Biagini, who is regularly a reliever, only lasted 1.1 innings and gave up six runs. However, including that mess, the team still has just a 3.31 ERA over their last 10 games.
Starting pitcher: Right-hander Marcus Stroman (11-8, 3.08 ERA)
Stroman had second consecutive loss despite not giving up an earned run. He had two unearned runs tagged on him with six hits through six innings. His pitching ratio was a decent seven strikeouts to three walks and he didn’t give up a homer. He’s only allowed one homer over his last three starts. However, the Blue Jays offense stunk it up and they ended up losing the game 2-1.
- 1-5 in their last 6 against AL East opponents
- 2-5 in their last 7 series openers
Blue Jays are:
- 4-1 in their last 5 home games
- 5-2 in their last 7 against starters with a WHIP greater than 1.30
Toronto’s outstanding pitching should bounce back with Stroman on the mound. At this point, Kansas City just simply doesn’t have enough in the tank for a postseason run.
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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