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Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians,
9-21-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#969 Boston
Red Sox 8
#970 Cleveland
Indians -155

Friday, September 21, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox
C. SALE

104 - 49

12
W's
4
L's
1.92
ERA
0.84
WHIP

Cleveland Indians
T. BAUER

85 - 67

12
W's
6
L's
2.28
ERA
1.09
WHIP

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians    

MLB: Friday, September 21st, 2018, Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio, 7:10 PM ET

The Boston Red Sox won six out of seven games before they faced the New York Yankees and lost the opening two clashes of the series on the road. On the other hand, the Cleveland Indians won three out of their last four games and they are safe at the top of the AL Central, as the Indians already secured a playoff spot.

The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Chris Sale for the Boston Red Sox against the Cleveland Indians’ Trevor Bauer. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET.

The Red Sox suffered a catastrophe in the latest clash with the Yankees

Boston closed the series with the New York Mets with a couple of victories, but they were well-beaten in the following two clashes with the New York Yankees. The Red Sox’s offense recorded just two hits fewer than the Yankees, but the hosts scored even ten runs in opposite to Boston’s one. It was a quite surprising display from the best offense in the entire MLB that averages 5.27 runs per contest, and I am sure they will bounce back on this one. They will face the Indians’ defense that allows exactly four runs per game and will be looking to score at least five.

Chris Sale is set to start against the Cleveland Indians, and he’s coming from a 17-8 record in 2017, a 2.90 Era, a 0.97 WHIP, 43 walks, and 308 strikeouts in 32 games in total. Sale started 25 games in this season and has 12 wins and four losses as he pitched 150 innings, allowing 93 hits and 34 runs with 33 walks and 222 strikeouts.

The Indians opened the series with a couple of wins over the White Sox

Cleveland lost the final game of the series with the Detroit Tigers but they responded with a pair of victories over the Chicago White Sox. The Indians were 1-0 down until the ninth inning when they scored four runs and secured a 4-1 win in a tight clash that could go either way. It was a solid display from the third-best offense in the American League, but they are facing the third-best defense in the conference that is allowing just 3.88 runs per contest, so Cleveland will have a lot of work to do to hurt the Red Sox on this one.

Trevor Bauer is listed as a starter against the Boston Red Sox, and he’s coming from a 17-9 record in 2017, a 4.19 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, 196 strikeouts in 32 games overall. Bauer started 25 games in this campaign and has 12 wins and six losses as he pitched 166 innings, allowing 125 hits and 49 runs with 56 walks and 214 strikeouts.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Boston won six out of the previous 11 H2H encounters including the last two, while the Indians were victorious in four out of the past six meetings at the Progressive Field. These two teams have the most efficient offenses in the American League, and it’s going to be close, but I am giving a slight advantage to the visitors who allowed fewer than four runs per contest on the road. Cleveland is scoring 5.51 runs per game at home, and it’s going to be a huge test for the Red Sox to prevail on this one, but I am backing them to do so.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox (+120)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

When it comes to the points, over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings; over is 8-2 in Indians previous ten home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600, while over is 7-2-1 in Red Sox last ten during game one of a series.

Prediction: Over 7 (-115)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Boston scored more than three runs in three out of the previous five games including 11 runs in the latest clash with the Yankees, so I am backing the best team in the MLB to score at least four on this one.

Prediction: Team Totals: Boston Red Sox Over 3.5 (+105)

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

The Red Sox were up after the first five innings in three out of the last five games, and although I expect to see a tight clash in the opening five innings here, I am backing the visitors to take the lead after the first five here.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox (+105)

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Three of Boston’s last five games produced more than three runs in the first five innings, while that was the case in four of Cleveland’s previous five, so I think the teams will combine for minimum four runs in the first five innings.

Prediction: Over 3.5 (-115)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Two of Boston’s last five games produced a score in the opening inning, while that was the case in three of the Indians’ previous five, so it’s going to be hard to predict whether the teams will combine for a run in the first inning. Considering that I am anticipating to see over in the end and after the first five innings, I am also backing the rivals to produce at least a run in the opening inning here.

Prediction: A Run in the 1st Inning: YES (+120)

The Admiral

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