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Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers,
9-21-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#971 Kansas City
Royals 9
#972 Detroit
Tigers -110

Friday, September 21, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Kansas City Royals
I. KENNEDY

52 - 101

2
W's
8
L's
4.72
ERA
1.42
WHIP

Detroit Tigers
F. LIRIANO

62 - 91

5
W's
10
L's
4.83
ERA
1.51
WHIP

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

MLB: Friday, September 21st, 2018, Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan, 7:10 PM ET

The Kansas City Royals suffered four consecutive defeats including all three games of the series with the Pittsburgh Pirates, and they are still at the bottom of the American League Central with seven wins behind the Chicago White Sox. On the other hand, the Detroit Tigers lost four out of their previous five games including all three to the Minnesota Twins, and they will be looking to bounce back in the series with the Royals.

The pitching matchup for Friday’s tilt will give us Ian Kennedy for the Kansas City Royals against the Detroit Tigers’ Francisco Liriano. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET.

The Royals suffered the fourth consecutive defeat in a narrow loss to Pittsburgh

Kansas City connected for three victories over the Minnesota Twins before they lost four straight games including all three to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Royals’ offense let them down in the last two games as they combined for just two runs, and although they conceded four in return, they fell short in both of those games. Scoring two runs in two games isn’t surprising for the third-worst offense in the American League, but the defense that allows 5.17 runs per contest must be happy with four runs conceded in that span.

Ian Kennedy is set to start against the Detroit Tigers, and he’s coming from a 5-13 record in 2017, a 5.38 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, 61 walks, and 131 strikeouts in 30 games in total. Kennedy started 20 games in this season and has two wins and eight losses as he pitched 106 innings, allowing 112 hits and 59 runs with 39 walks and 97 strikeouts.

The Tigers were swept by the Twins in a three-game series

Detroit closed the series with the Cleveland Indians with a win but they suffered three defeats in a row to the Minnesota Twins, scoring just six runs in the process. The Tigers recorded only four hits in the latest 8-2 loss and won just five bases in opposite to Minnesota’s 15, so the second-worst offense in the American League was left empty-handed in a three-game series. Detroit’s defense that allows 4.81 runs per contest is a bit better than the Royals’, and although I don’t think the defenses will play an integral part in this tilt, I am giving the slight advantage to the hosts.

Francisco Liriano is listed as a starter against the Kansas City Royals, and he’s coming from a 6-7 record in 2017, a 5.66 ERA, a 1.63 WHIP, 53 walks, and 85 strikeouts in 38 games overall (18 starts). Liriano started 24 games in this campaign and has five wins and ten losses as he pitched 125 innings, allowing 118 hits and 76 runs with 69 walks and 101 strikeouts.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Kansas City won six out of the previous nine H2H encounters including three out of the last four, while the Royals were victorious in three out of the past five meetings at the Comerica Park. Despite the fact the Royals have been more successful in the recent H2H tilts, I am backing the hosts’ defense which proved to be slightly better than Kansas City’s. Both defenses are among the worst ones in the MLB and if one limits the other to under five runs, I think that the side who manage to do it will take a win here.

Prediction: Detroit Tigers (-120)

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

For those who prefer playing on the points, over is 7-2-2 in Tigers last 11 during game two of a series; over is 14-5-3 in Tigers previous 22 vs. American League Central opponents, over is 4-0 in Royals last four vs. American League Central opponents, while over is 12-3-1 in Royals last 16 Friday games.

Prediction: Over 9 (-125)

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Kansas City scored more than four runs in six out of the previous eight games including the opening clash of the series with Detroit when they scored eight, so I am backing the visitors to score at least five runs on this one.

Prediction: Team Totals: Kansas City Royals Over 4.5 (-115)

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

The Tigers were up after the first five innings in two out of their previous five games, while the Royals weren’t quite successful in that period recently, so I am backing the hosts to have a lead after the opening five innings here.

Prediction: Detroit Tigers (-125)

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Four of Detroit’s last five games produced more than five runs I the opening five innings, so I am backing the rivals to be efficient on this one and combine for at least six runs in the first five innings.

Prediction: Over 5 (-115)

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

Three of the Tigers’ last five games produced a score in the opening inning, while that occurred in two of the Royals’ previous five, and considering that these teams have rather weak defenses, I believe they will produce at least a run in the opening inning.

Prediction: A Run in the 1st Inning: YES (-125)

The Admiral

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