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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates,
9-21-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Milwaukee
Brewers -125
#954 Pittsburgh
Pirates 8

Friday, September 21, 2018 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers
J. CHACIN

87 - 66

14
W's
8
L's
3.54
ERA
1.19
WHIP

Pittsburgh Pirates
I. NOVA

77 - 74

9
W's
9
L's
4.07
ERA
1.25
WHIP

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to retake the NL Central lead over the weekend, but they will have a hard time doing so against a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is playing very well at the moment. The NL Central rivals will play the first game of the three-game weekend series at PNC Park on Friday night. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:05 PM. ET.

Jhoulys Chacin, who is 14-8 with a 3.54 ERA, will get the start for the Brewers. The Pirates will counter with Ivan Nova, who is 9-9 with a 4.07 ERA.

Brewers Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak To Pirates

The Brewers dropped two of three games to the Pirates the last time they played, but they have won two of their last three games since. They will be trying to snap their two-game losing streak to the Pirates and win their third game in their last four contests when they face the Pirates on Friday.

Offensively, the Brewers have been very solid this season. The team has a .250 batting average, which is 13th in the league. Their .320 on base percentage is 14th, while their .419 slugging percentage is 10th in the league. The Brewers have scored 687 runs this season, which is 13th in the league.

Milwaukee’s pitching has been one of the best in the league this season. Opponents have a .234 batting average against the Brewers, which is fifth in the league. Their 3.77 ERA is ninth, while their 1.26 WHIP is 11th in the league.

In his last start, Chacin gave up three hits and two earned runs in five innings, but the Brewers lost to the Pirates 3-2. The team will need a better effort from him when they face the Pirates on Friday.

Pirates Going For Sixth Consecutive Win

The Pirates don’t have a chance of catching the Chicago Cubs in the division, but that won’t prevent them from trying to mess up Milwaukee’s chances of winning the division. They have won their last five contests and six of their last seven games. They will try to make it six wins in a row and seven wins in eight games when they play Milwaukee on Friday.

Offensively, the Pirates have struggled this season. The team has a .254 batting average, which is eighth in the league. Their .318 on base percentage is 16th, while their .406 slugging percentage is 19th in the league. The Pirates have scored 649 runs this season, which is 21st in the league.

Pittsburgh’s pitching has been better than the team’s offense. Opponents have a .251 batting average against the Pirates, which is 18th in the league. Their 4.00 ERA is 15th, while their 1.30 WHIP is 16th in the league.

In his last start, Nova gave up four hits and one earned run in six innings, helping the Pirates get a 3-1 win over the Brewers. The team will need another solid effort from him to get the win on Friday.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Pirates are perfect at home in their last eight games and have played well in their last 10 games after Nova gives up two runs or less. The Brewers have struggled on the road and have lost the last four games Chacin started against NL Central opponents.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates +110

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Chacin and Nova have played well in their last two starts giving up four total runs. Even though their offenses are combining for nine runs in their last three games, don’t expect to see a high-scoring game here.

Prediction: Under 8

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

Milwaukee is averaging 5.33 runs per game in their last three games, but the team will score less than 4.5 runs in this game because they will be going up against Nova, who has given up one run in his last two starts and two total runs in his last two starts against the Brewers.

Prediction: Brewers Total Runs Under 4.5

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

The Brewers are outscoring the Pirates three runs to 1.67 runs in the first five innings of their last three games, but the Pirates have the edge in the first five innings of this game because Nova pitches well at home and has given up only one run in his last two starts, which will make it difficult for the Brewers to hit their three-game average.

Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates +120

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

Both teams are combining for 4.67 runs in the first five innings of this game but they will have trouble scoring that many runs going up against starters that have given up four total runs in their last two starts.

Prediction: Under 4.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

The Brewers are averaging 0.33 runs in the first inning of their last three games and they struggled to score against Nova the last two times they went against him. The Pirates haven’t scored a run in the first inning of their last three games and likely won’t get a first-inning run off Chacin, who gave up two runs the last time he faced the Pirates.

Prediction: Will there be a score in the 1st Inning? No -125

Bosun Akinpelu

I am very passionate about sports, so I kind of feel bad that I get paid to do this. As someone who minored in Mathematics, I have a lot of faith in numbers, and make my picks based on stats and not emotions. I've been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so stick with me if you want to get paid.

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