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Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
NBA: Sunday, January 13, 2019, American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas, 7:00 PM ET
The Golden State Warriors humiliated their previous two opponents, but the road clash with the Dallas Mavericks should be a more difficult assignment for the reigning champions. This will be the third head-to-head duel of the season between these two rivals, and the series is tied with both teams winning on the home court.
The Warriors dominated New York and Chicago
The Golden State Warriors (28-14; 18-24 ATS) are coming off two consecutive home wins over the Chicago Bulls 146-109 and the New York Knicks 122-95 to extend their winning streak to three games. The Warriors easily covered the spread on both occasions and are 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS over their last six outings, while the Warriors are just 5-10 ATS in their previous 15 games overall. Also, the Warriors have won three straight games on the road, covering the spread two times in the process, and they are 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS in the last eight encounters away from home.
Stephen Curry is leading the Warriors with 28.8 points, 5.6 assists, and 5.0 triples per game, shooting 48.7% from the field and 44.3% from beyond the arc. Kevin Durant is averaging 28.2 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 6.1 assists per contest on 50.7% shooting from the field, while Klay Thompson is tallying 21.8 points a night on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Warriors are scoring 117.4 points per game (1st in the league) on 48.7% shooting from the field (also 1st) and 38.3% from beyond the arc (3rd), allowing 111.7 points in a return (20th) on 45.0% shooting (7th).
The Mavs won’t give up so easy
The Dallas Mavericks (20-22; 25-17 ATS) are on a two-game winning streak following a 119-115 victory at the Minnesota Timberwolves last night. Luka Doncic had another tremendous game, scoring seven of Dallas’ last nine points to edge the game and prove his clutch. Luka ended the game with 29 points, 12 assists, and eight rebounds, hitting just two of his nine 3-point attempts, but one of those triples decided the winner. The Mavericks are 5-5 straight up and 6-4 ATS in their last ten games overall, trying to keep the pace in the playoff race (11th-placed in the west), while they are 4-2 straight up and 2-4 ATS in their previous six showings at American Airlines Center.
Luka Doncic is leading the way for the Mavericks as the rookie sensation is posting 20.0 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 5.0 assists per contest on 43.5% shooting from the field and 36.8% from downtown. Harrison Barnes is averaging 18.1 points and 4.2 rebounds per game, while DeAndre Jordan is tallying 10.9 points and 14.0 rebounds a night. The Mavs are scoring 109.9 points per game (19th in the league) on 45.1% shooting from the field (22nd) and 34.6% from beyond the arc (21st), conceding 109.4 points in a return (13th) on 46.0% shooting from the field (17th).
- 16-4 SU and 14-6 ATS in 20 home games this season
- 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS in the last five home meetings with Golden State
- Under is 5-1 in the last six games overall
Golden State Warriors:
- 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS in the last ten road games versus the Western Conference
- 11-1 SU and 7-5 ATS in the last 12 meetings with Dallas
- Over is 4-1 in the last five games overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Warriors are certainly keen to continue with their strong performance following a couple of lopsided results, but it should be a tall task to drop a bunch of points on the Mavericks at American Airlines Center. The Mavs are playing very well at home this season, but I will go with the Warriors on this one, hoping they will carry momentum into the game and eventually cover a 6-point spread. Both teams are playing without a rest and I think the Mavericks should struggle with fatigue more than Warriors who easily smashed the Bulls last night. Likewise, the Mavs are 0-14 straight up and 6-8 ATS on the second day of their last 14 back-to-back sets, while the Warriors are 8-1 straight up and 4-5 ATS on their previous nine.
Prediction: Golden State Warriors -6.0 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The Warriors are averaging whopping 132.2 points over their last five outings overall, while tallying 121.4 points over their last five encounters on the road. However, the Mavericks’ defense has been solid at home this season, allowing just 105.4 points per contest. The hosts’ only hope to stay close and eventually grab a win is to play some tough defense, so I will go with the under.
Prediction: Under 228.0 points (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
In eight of their last ten games at American Airlines Center, the Mavericks limited their rivals below 111 points, while New Orleans and Sacramento dropped 119 or more points on the Mavs. The Warriors are averaging 121.4 points over their last five games on the road, but they’ve been playing against some poor defensive teams such as Phoenix and Sacramento twice. I’m backing the under on the total, so I’ll take the Warriors to stay under 118 points on this one.
Prediction: Team Totals: Golden State Warriors under 117.5 points (-110)
Half-Time Side Pick
Dallas was trailing at halftime in three of its last five games at home, while the Warriors were leading in four of their previous five outings on the road. The Mavericks had a 2-point deficit at halftime in their first meeting of the season with the Warriors on the home court, but they had a 3-point lead at Golden State, and on both occasions, the rival that trailed at halftime won the game. This is a tricky wager, but I’ll take the Warriors to cover, hoping they will carry the momentum from their last two games at home.
Prediction: Golden State Warriors -2.5 (-110)