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Houston Rockets at Philadelphia 76ers
NBA: Monday, January 21, 2019, Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 8:00 PM ET
The inter-conference foes will meet at the Wells Fargo Center on Monday when the Houston Rockets take on the Philadelphia 76ers hoping to get their second win in a row following a couple of overtime games, while the hosts are looking to return to the winning ways after their three-game winning run was snapped by the Oklahoma City Thunder. Houston has been a better team when it comes to H2H duels in the past few years, winning seven out of the last eight games but Philadelphia won the latest encounter back in October 2017.
Houston Rockets beat Los Angeles Lakers in another overtime game
Houston is playing in a hot and cold form lately and they suffered a painful overtime home loss to the Brooklyn Nets but managed to bounce back in the following game with a victory over the Los Angeles Lakers. The Rockets improved to the 5th position in the Western Conference with the 26-19 record, six wins behind the conference leaders Golden State Warriors and with a slightly better record (.578) than the Southwest Division rivals San Antonio Spurs (.574).
James Harden led the Rockets in a 138-134 overtime win over the Lakers with 48 points (14-30 FG, 8-19 3PT, 12-15 FT), eight rebounds, team-high six assists, and four steals; Eric Gordon added 30 points (7-16 FG, 5-10 3PT, 11-12 FT), five boards, and four dimes, James Ennis III had 18 points, while Gerald Green chipped in with 17 points of the bench. Houston trailed by 18 points at halftime and they managed to get a comeback win coming from a 21-point deficit to avoid the second consecutive overtime defeat. The Raptors dominated from downtown and hit even 25 triples in opposite to the Lakers’ ten, and even though the hosts lost the rebounding battle (39-56) they secured a win thanks to red-hot shooting from outside.
Just another causal night for @JHarden13 scoring 48 points! 🚀
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) January 20, 2019
Clint Capela underwent successful surgery to repair a torn ligament in his right thumb and is expected to miss the next 4-6 weeks. Chris Paul (hamstring) practiced with the team on Friday and could return in a week, while Brandon Knight (left knee soreness) is also out for the clash with Philadelphia.
The Rockets have the 10th offense in the NBA that averages 112.6 points per contest, while their defense allows 110.5 points per game (15th). Houston’s rebounding is below average as they are recording 42.0 boards per game (25th), while they are not better when it comes to assists per contest with 21.2 dishes a night (28th). Houston is 24th in field goal percentage as they have 44.7 percent from the floor and 16th from downtown with 35.2 percentage, while they are 1st in the NBA with 15.6 three-pointers made per game.
Philadelphia 76ers fell short to Oklahoma City at home in an exciting finish
Philadelphia was in a fine form of three consecutive wins, two of which came on the road, but the Oklahoma City Thunder prevented them from getting the fourth straight with a tight win at the Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers dropped to the 30-17 record and are currently sitting in the 4th position in the Eastern Conference with three wins behind the conference leaders Milwaukee Bucks, five wins behind the Atlantic Division leaders Toronto Raptors, and two ahead of the rivals Boston Celtics.
Joel Embiid led the Sixers in a 117-115 loss to the Thunder with 31 points (11-19 FG, 8-12 FT), eight rebounds, and six assists; J.J. Redick followed him with 22 points, Ben Simmons almost posted a triple-double of 20 points, game-high 15 boards, and game-high nine dimes, while Jimmy Butler finished the tilt with 18 points, four dishes, and a couple of steals. Philadelphia had a 2-point lead until the final seconds of the game but Paul George converted a 4-point play to give the Thunder a victory, snapping Philly’s three-game winning run in the process.
— Philadelphia 76ers (@sixers) January 20, 2019
Markelle Fultz (shoulder) has returned to Philadelphia to continue his rehabilitation with the Sixers, but there is still no timetable for his return to the lineup.
The 76ers have the top 5 offense in the NBA that averages 115.4 points per contest, while their defense allows 112.2 points per game (22nd). Philadelphia’s rebounding is in top 5 as they are recording 47.6 boards per game (5th), while they are even better when it comes to assists per contest with 27.5 dishes a night (2nd). Philadelphia is 7th in field goal percentage as they have 47.3 percent from the floor and 8th from downtown with 35.9 percentage, while they are 11th in the NBA with 11.4 three-pointers made per game.
- 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 vs. Western Conference rivals
- 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss
- 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games played on the road
- 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NBA Atlantic rivals
- 1-4 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game
- 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Houston won eight out of the previous ten H2H encounters including eight out of the last nine, while the Rockets were victorious in the past four meetings at the Wells Fargo Center. However, the Rockets are 2-6 ATS in the last eight duels; they are 1-6 ATS in the previous seven meetings in Philadelphia, while the home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 clashes, and considering Houston’s poor record away from home this year, I am going with the Sixers in this one. The hosts will be highly motivated to stop James Harden and bounce back from a tight loss to the Thunder and I believe they have what it takes to get a win here.
Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers -4 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Both teams scored 100+ points in five out of the previous six H2H duels including the last three at the Wells Fargo Center, and I expect to see a bunch of baskets in this one as well. I am going with over because over is 5-2 in 76ers last seven home games; over is 12-5 in 76ers previous 17 games following an ATS loss, while over is 5-1 in 76ers last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, over is 4-1 in Rockets last five overall; over is 11-2 in Rockets previous 13 vs. Eastern Conference opponents, while over is 5-1 in Rockets last six vs. NBA Atlantic rivals.
Prediction: Over 233.5 (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
Philadelphia was up at halftime in four of their previous five games, while Houston didn’t play well in the opening 24 minutes in the last two games, trailing at halftime in both of them. I expect another slow start from the Rockets here and even though they should improve in the second half, I am going with the Sixers in the first half and I am backing them to cover the -2 spread, and in case they are up by exactly two points, we’ll get our stake back.
Prediction: Philadelphia 76ers -2 (-110)
Half-Time Side Pick
The total is set at 119.5 and even though I backed over in the end of this tilt, I don’t think the rivals will combine for 120 points, especially as I expect to see Houston entering the game rather slowly. While Harden and co. will probably heat up in the second half, I don’t think the visitors will score more than 55 points in the opening 24 minutes, and therefore, I am backing under in the first half.
Prediction: Under 119.5 (-110)