Brooklyn Nets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA: Monday, November 12, 2018, Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota, 8:00 PM ET
After trading Jimmy Butler in exchange for Dario Saric and Robert Covington, the Minnesota Timberwolves will have to break out of their funk and get back on the winning track. The Brooklyn Nets are on a heavy road trip at the west coast, so tonight’s showdown at Target Center should be quite interesting for both the fans and bettors.
The Nets are playing under the radar
The Brooklyn Nets are enjoying a solid start on the season, sitting at the eighth spot of the Eastern Conference with a 6-7 record. The Nets have played eight of their 13 games on the road so far, and they are 3-5 away from home including a surprising 112-110 victory at the Denver Nuggets thanks to Caris LeVert floater with 0.3 seconds left on the clock. After upsetting the odds in Denver where they were 9-point underdogs, the Nets lost back-to-back at the Golden State Warriors 116-100, so this will be their third straight matchup on the west coast.
— Brooklyn Nets (@BrooklynNets) November 10, 2018
Caris LeVert is leading the way for the Nets with 19.0 points on 47.7% shooting from the field. LeVert is slowly becoming the first scoring option for the Nets, and he already has seven 20+ point games in 13 starts this season. D’Angelo Russell is averaging 15.7 points and 5.1 assists per game, while Joe Harris is tallying 14.0 points on 57.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Brooklyn is averaging 108.8 points per game, but their offensive rating is 10th-best in the league (111.1) due to their slow pace with 97.2 possessions per 48 minutes. On the other side, the Nets are allowing 109.3 points per game, and their defensive rating is 22nd in the league (111.5).
It is KAT’s time to shine
Jimmy Butler is the Timberwolves past, and they need to look forward and restore their team chemistry as soon as possible. Dario Saric and Robert Covington are good players who love to play team basketball, and this duo could be perfect to surround Karl-Anthony Towns who has to step up and become a true leader if this Minnesota team. The Timberwolves have lost five games in a row including a 121-110 defeat at the Sacramento Kings in their previous outing, despite 39 points and 19 rebounds by Karl-Anthony Towns. Minnesota is 0-8 on the road this season, so coming back home is a huge relief for Tom Thibodeau’s boys.
Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging just 19.9 points per game on 45.9% shooting from the field which is KAT’s worst shot percentage in his career by far. Derrick Rose is playing on the highest level since Jeff Teague’s injury, setting his career-high with 50 points against the Utah Jazz. The Timberwolves’ fans just hope D-Rose will stay healthy, but they need more from Andrew Wiggins who is averaging 17.0 points on 41.6% shooting from the field. Minnesota is scoring 110.5 points per game in this term (15th in the league) while allowing 117.7 points per game in a return.
- 7-2 straight up and 6-3 ATS in the last nine home games
- Favorite is 8-3 ATS last 11 in series.
- The under is 5-0 in the last five games overall
- 1-4 ATS last 5 after allowing 100 or more in their previous game.
- 2-8 straight up and 6-4 ATS in the last ten games as underdogs
- 2-9 straight up and 6-4-1 ATS in the last 11 road games versus Western Conference
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
This is a perfect spot for a fresh start, and the Timberwolves will have to start playing some defense, while Karl-Anthony Towns should be a dominant force in the paint against the Nets. Brooklyn is allowing 44.2 points in the paint per game which is the 5th-worst record in the league, and their overall defensive job is among the worst in the league. Dario Saric and Robert Covington should be available for the Timberwolves who should end their losing streak on the back of Jimmy Butler’s trade.
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
As I’ve already mentioned, both Minnesota and Brooklyn are struggling defensively, but the chalk on the total has been set pretty high. Neither of these two teams plays in a furious pace, but after Minnesota’s last five games were finished in the under, I just have to go against the streak and hope for a strong shooting night.
Prediction: Over 222.0 points (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
It might be too soon to expect much better performance from Thibodeau’s boys, so this one could be a tight clash, and I just cannot see a blow out on any side. Minnesota is 1-0 in games decided by three points or fewer and 1-5 in games decided by 10 points or more, while Brooklyn is 3-2 in games decided by three or fewer points and 3-3 in games decided by 10 or more points. Hereof, picking the winning margin between 1 to 5 points sounds reasonable at +155, but I’ll go with a higher one.
Prediction: 7-Way Winning Margin: Both teams 6-10 points (+220)
Half-Time Side Pick
The Timberwolves were ahead at the halftime just once in the last five outings, and twice in four home games this season. On the other side, the Nets were ahead at the halftime in each but one of their last five games, trailing only in their previous matchup at Golden State. Brooklyn had an 8-point lead at Denver and a 10-point lead at Phoenix, while the Nets were leading by five points against the Houston Rockets at home in a 119-111 defeat. The numbers are suggesting the Nets, but the Timberwolves should have a huge motive on this one in front of the home audience, so I’ll take the hosts at halftime.
Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -1.0 (-110)