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Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies
NBA: Tuesday, November 19, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee, 8:00 PM ET
The Golden State Warriors continue to suffer, riding a seven-game losing streak following a 108-100 defeat at the New Orleans Pelicans on Sunday. The Dubs will try to snap that skid on Tuesday night when they visit the Memphis Grizzlies who are coming off a tough 131-114 home loss to the Denver Nuggets. The Grizzlies put an end to their first winning streak of the season, winning three straight games in Week 4.
The Warriors have dominated the Grizzlies over the last few years, winning 14 of their previous 18 encounters. However, the Grizzlies thrashed off the Warriors 132-117 as 5-point home dogs in their previous meeting back in April.
The banged-up Warriors just cannot overcome injury bugsThe Warriors met the Pelicans on Sunday missing Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, D’Angelo Russell, Kevon Looney, Jacob Evans, and Damion Lee. Although the Pelicans played without six important players, too, the Warriors trailed for all 48 minutes. That tells you a lot about the Warriors’ current strength. They shot 40.7% from the field and only 28.0% from beyond the arc. Rookie Eric Paschal put on a strong performance, tallying 30 points and seven rebounds while making ten of his 17 field-goal attempts. However, all other guys had a bad night, besides another rook Ky Bowman who added 19 points and four dimes off the bench.
"There are some funky lineups that are out there because of our injuries and we're short on shooting," Warriors coach Steve Kerr said. "If you can't spread the floor shooting, you've got to be able to play with pace and make all the cuts. You've got to play faster. You have to get stops defensively so you can run.”
The Dubs will continue to play without their best players, so this could be a long and painful season for their fans. Golden State is dead last in the league in points allowed per 100 possessions (115.8). Likewise, the Warriors allow their rivals to make 48.1% of their field goals (28th in the league) and 39.1% of their 3-pointers (30th). On the other side, the Warriors are scoring 105.8 points per 100 possessions (22nd) on 43.2% shooting from the field (26th) and 31.5% from beyond the arc (also 26th).
The Grizzlies’ defense fell apart against Jamal Murray and Denver NuggetsAfter three straight wins over San Antonio 113-109 and Charlotte 119-117 on the road and Utah 107-106 at home, the Grizzlies were terrible against the Nuggets on Sunday night. They lost the second quarter 44-17 and trailed by 23 points at halftime. Memphis’ defense was awkward, allowing the Nuggets to make 55.1% of their field goals and whopping 56.3% of their 3-pointers. Jamal Murray dropped 39 points on the Grizzlies who surrendered 25 points off turnovers and 29 fast break points. Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies with 22 points and five rebounds, while Ja Morant added 13 points and six assists.
"They raised their level to an elite level, and our guys just couldn't really catch that second gear. It just wasn't our day," Grizzlies coach Taylor Jenkins said, later adding: "We tried to claw back here and there, but that second quarter kind of got away from us."
The Grizzlies have been struggling defensively since the start of the season. Their defensive rating is 27th in the league with 112.6 points allowed per 100 possessions. The Grizzlies allow their opponents to hit 46.5% of their field goals (21st) and 36.4% of their 3-pointers (23rd). Their offense is not much better with 104.4 points scored per 100 possessions (27th). At least, the Grizzlies make 46.0% of their field goals (10th) along with 25.5 assists (tied-5th) which is an encouraging sign.
The top supporting trends for this game, found on Covers.com, are: Golden State:
- 5-12-1 ATS in the last 18 games on the road
- 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games against a team with a losing record
- 7-18-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings with the Southwest Division
- 4-1 ATS in the last five games played on Tuesday
- 4-2 ATS in the last six home games against Golden State
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Warriors look completely lost on both sides of the ball. While they manage to find an offensive flow at some points, the Warriors’ cannot stop anyone on the defensive end. Simply, they lack talent, so I don’t see anything changes in the near future for the Warriors. On the other side, the Grizzlies have a few young and talented players who look keen to prove their worth. Ja Morant is doing a great job in his rookie season, while Jaren Jackson Jr. and Jonas Valanciunas should dominate the Warriors’ frontcourt in this one. Therefore, give me the Grizzlies to cover. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight encounters between Memphis and Golden State.
Prediction: Memphis Grizzlies -5.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Although Golden State and Memphis are struggling offensively, their poor defenses should provide a high-scoring affair. As I’ve mentioned above, the Warriors’ D is the worst in the NBA, and the Grizzlies are not far away from that standard. Likewise, both teams like to play at a fast pace, especially the Grizzlies who are averaging 104.6 possessions per 48 minutes. Neither team can be efficient in half-court basketball, so I expect to see an up-tempo clash with a bunch of shots in the first ten seconds of a possession. The over is 7-2 in Memphis’ last nine games following a double-digit loss at home, and it is 6-2 in the Warriors’ previous eight contests against the Western Conference.
Prediction: Over 224.0 points (-110)