Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, California
When: Friday, November 9, 2018 10:00 pm Eastern
Minnesota has some internal problems and can’t seem to get out of their own way and Sacramento is a young, exciting team that has been one of the surprises thus far in the NBA.
The Timberwolves are a Mess
The Timberwolves lost a tough one to the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday night by a score of 114-110. The loss was their fourth in a row and fourth consecutive road loss. Friday night is the last game of that five game trip and you would think Minnesota would want to win this game, wouldn’t you?
Derrick Rose continues to be a revelation, scoring 102 points over the last three games when he’s played 30 or more minutes. It’s too bad this newest incarnation is being wasted as he seems to be one of the very few Timberwolves who actually seem to care. Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 19 points and 10 rebounds over the last five games and Andrew Wiggins is averaging 18 points and a couple of steals over his last five. Jimmy Butler gets it done when he plays but it’s never a lock as to if Butler will suit up on a game to game basis.
The Timberwolves average 110 points per game and have a 104 Pace Rate and are shooting 43 percent from the floor, 36 percent from behind the three point line and 81 percent from the line. Minnesota averages 110 points per game and has an Offensive Efficiency Rating of 105.8. Minnesota allows 117 points per game and their Defensive Efficiency Rating of 113.2 is tied with Cleveland for league worst.
Kings are Young but are They Ready?
The Kings had a nice five game winning streak going for them and received plenty of attention for it. Now they’ve lost two in a row and aren’t looking like the team folks were going gaga about. The reality is this; the Kings are a young, talented and relatively healthy team able to knock off the Heat and Hawks of the world but as yet aren’t able to beat the elite of the NBA world.
Buddy Hield leads the Kings in scoring (20.1 ppg), followed closely by De’Aaron Fox (18.7 ppg) and Willie Cauley-Stein (16.5 ppg). Fox leads the team in assists (7.4), Cauley-Stein leads the team in rebounds (8.2), Nemanja Bjelica leads the team in steals (1.5 pg) and rookie Marvin Bagley III leads the team in blocks with 1.1 per game.
Sacramento plays at the second fastest Pace Rate in the NBA (109) and average 117.5 points per game. The Kings shoot 49 percent from the floor, 39 percent from beyond the arc and 65 percent from the free throw line. That amounts to their 108.6 Offensive Efficiency Rating. The Kings defense allows 118.8 points per game and have a Defensive Efficiency Rating of 108.2.
- Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Northwest.
- Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Timberwolves are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The line isn’t up yet because no one seems to know from one day to the next, if Butler is going to play. That’s a big problem. There isn’t a way in the world, if everything was correct with Minnesota, that I would ever take the Kings over the Timberwolves but I’m going to do so on Friday. Especially if the Kings are the home dog. If the Kings are favored by five points or less, I will bet on the Kings. If the spread is more than five points, I will play the Timberwolves.
Minnesota has lost four straight road games and Friday night is the end of their road trip. Normally there would be a sense of urgency to win a basketball game, but right now the Timberwolves aren’t a normal team. I will be playing the Kings.
Full-Game Total Pick
Neither of these teams play defense worth a lick and both teams do like to score points. I have no idea what kind of total will be set, but I suspect it will be somewhere around 230-240 points. As long as it stays under 240, I will play the over. Any higher and I would hesitate to play the over.