Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Target Center
When: Wednesday, December 11, 2019, 8:00 pm ET
We have a Northwest Division NBA matchup to consider for Wednesday night when the Utah Jazz meets the Minnesota Timberwolves for game three of their four-game season series. Utah has lost four of its last five games, and the Timberwolves are hoping to end a five-game losing streak when they face the Jazz.
Conley Ruled OutMike Conley has missed the past three games and has been ruled out for this matchup. His absence isn’t the main reason for the poor play because Utah wasn’t playing that well while he was on the court. The Jazz is currently 13-11 with a 4-8 record away from Utah, and considering the Jazz is 9-2 at home, I would have to say they aren’t a good road team.
Utah averages 102 points per game on the road this season, and that is three points below their season average of 105 points per game. Utah allows 106 points per game on the road, and that’s the culprit right there.
Donovan Mitchell leads the Jazz in scoring on the road, averaging 23.9 points per game. Bojan Bogdanovic averages 21.3 points per game, and Rudy Gobert scores an average of 16 points with 13.8 rebounds per game away from Utah this season.
Timberwolves Five Game Losing StreakMinnesota has lost five consecutive games with four of those losses coming on the road to Dallas, Oklahoma City, Los Angeles Lakers, and Phoenix, and the fifth loss was a home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies. The Timberwolves aren’t listing any severe injuries, so I suppose they can’t use that as an excuse. Minnesota has a record of 3-7 at home and is 10-13 overall, and I’m beginning to think the Timberwolves aren’t a very good team.
3 defenders?— Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) December 10, 2019
No problem. pic.twitter.com/hU4IkG9gnY
The Timberwolves score an average of 109 points per game at Target Center, and that is five points below their season average of 114.6 points. Minnesota allows 115.6 points per game at home, and that number is lower than the 117 points they allow away from home this season.
Andrew Wiggins leads Minnesota in scoring at home this season, averaging 25.8 points per game with five rebounds and just over four assists per game. Karl-Anthony Towns averages 25 points per game this season at Target Center alongside 13 rebounds, and Robert Covington scores an average of 13.1 points with six rebounds this season at home for the Timberwolves.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are:
- Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Utah is a 1.5 point road favorite, and I’m going with the Timberwolves in this one. The Jazz can’t score enough points to beat the Timberwolves at Target Center, and Utah is a much better team. The Jazz doesn’t have a primary ball-handler, and they also miss Conley and his defense. Minnesota isn’t very good, but even bad teams can win at home, and even though the Timberwolves struggle at home, I think they can cover the spread. I will take the points and play Minnesota to win this game.
Prediction: Timberwolves +1.5
Full-Game Total Pick
Minnesota is one of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA, and the Jazz is right in the middle of the pack in pace. Defensively speaking, Utah is superior to Minnesota, and their slower pace of play will have ann effect on how many possessions the Timberwolves end up getting. I don’t think it will be enough to eclipse the 222.5 point total, and I will play UNDER in this game.
Prediction: Under 222.5