Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Scotiabank Arena
When: Tuesday, December 3, 2019, 7:35 pm ET
We have an Eastern Conference NBA matchup to discuss when the Miami Heat meets the Toronto Raptors for game one of their three-game season series. The Heat are 14-5 this season and enter this matchup riding a two-game winning streak. Toronto is 15-4 this season and has a seven-game winning streak. They hope to continue that with a win over Miami.
Heat Two-Game Winning StreakIf the playoffs were to begin today, the Miami Heat would be the third seed in the Eastern Conference. They are first in the Southeast Division and hold a six-game lead over the Orlando Magic. Miami enters this matchup riding a two-game winning streak with victories over the Golden State Warriors and Brooklyn Nets and has a road record of 6-5 this season.
Jimmy Butler leads Miami with 18.8 points per game alongside 5.5 rebounds and a team-high 6.3 assists. Rookie guard Kendrick Nunn scores an average of 16.1 points with 3.2 assists, Goran Dragic averages 15.9 points with five assists per night leading the Miami’s second unit. Bam Adebayo averages 13.9 points with a team-high 10.6 rebounds, and rookie guard Tyler Herro is averaging 14.4 points with four rebounds per game this season.
Raptors Seven Game Winning StreakToronto is on fire and has won seven consecutive games and is 9-0 at Scotiabank Arena this season. The Raptors have a one-game lead over the Boston Celtics in the Atlantic Division, and if the regular season were to end today, Toronto would be the second seed in the Eastern Conference. Toronto is second in the NBA in defensive efficiency and fifth in the Association in offensive efficiency this season.
Pascal Siakam leads the Raptors with 25.8 points alongside a team-high 8.4 points per game. Kyle Lowry is second on the club in scoring but has missed the past 11 games and is without a timetable for return. Fred VanVleet averages 18.6 points per game with a team-leading 7.5 assists, and Serge Ibaka averages 13.9 points with 6.1 rebounds per night for Toronto this season.
- Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight-up win.
- Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Raptors are 25-4 ATS in their last 29 games playing on 1 days rest.
The top supporting trends for this game found on Covers.com, are:
- Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
- Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
- Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
I’m siding with the Raptors in this one. They are almost unbeatable at Scotiabank Arena and are 9-0 this season at home. The Heat isn’t a very good road team, and while Miami will give them a battle, Toronto will likely win the war. Miami has an excellent bench, but Toronto has a better one, and that will be the difference in this matchup. I will play Toronto to defeat Miami on Tuesday night.
Full-Game Total Pick
We have two top-ten defensive teams here, and that usually means a lower scoring game. Both sides average over 110 points per game while allowing 105 points per game or less. My math says 215 points, and that will likely be too high as neither side plays at a very fast-paced tempo. It will be a tough game, but I will play UNDER 214 points and above in this matchup.