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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls
NBA: Monday, February 11, 2019, United Center, Chicago, Illinois, 8:00 PM ET
The Central Division showdown from United Center in Chicago, Illinois, will see the Milwaukee Bucks going on the Chicago Bulls for the third time this season. The Bucks lead the series with a couple of home wins, while they’ve won the previous four head-to-head duels with the Bulls. Milwaukee is still leading the league, topping the Eastern Conference one game ahead of the Toronto Raptors. Chicago is looking towards the future, sitting at the 13th spot far away from the playoff picture.
The Bucks have been rolling on the road lately
The Milwaukee Bucks (41-14; 32-20-3 ATS) had a turbulent end of Week 17, beating the Dallas Mavericks 122-107 on the road this past Friday and losing heavily to the Orlando Magic 103-83 in front of the home fans Saturday night. It was a surprising defeat even though the Bucks played without Giannis Antetokounmpo, but it just proved they are depending too much on the Greek Freak. The Bucks are 6-1 straight up and ATS in their last seven games overall, while they are 5-0 straight up and ATS in their previous five outings away from home.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is leading the way for the Bucks, averaging 27.0 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 5.8 assists per game while making 58.0% of his field goals. Khris Middleton is posting 17.2 points, 5.9 rebounds, and 4.2 dimes per contest, while Eric Bledsoe is tallying 16.0 points and 5.6 assists per outing. The Bucks are scoring 113.4 points per 100 possessions (4th in the league), making 48.0% of their field goals (2nd) and 35.0% of their 3-point attempts (15th). On the other side of the ball, the Bucks are surrendering only 104.0 points per 100 possessions (1st in the league) on 43.2% shooting from the field (also 1st) and 35.8% from beyond the arc (tied-15th).
The Bulls are awful at home in 2019
The Chicago Bulls (13-43; 24-31-1 ATS) are coming off a 134-125 defeat to the Washington Wizards this past Saturday which was their third defeat in the last five games along with a couple of road wins at Brooklyn 125-106 and Miami 105-89. Zach LaVine dropped 26 points on the Wizards, while Lauri Markkanen added 20 points and 11 rebounds, but the Bulls’ defense was terrible once more this season. Chicago is 3-7 straight up and 4-6 ATS in its last ten games overall, but the Bulls are terrible 0-10 straight up and 1-9 in their previous ten showings at United Center, still looking for their first home victory in 2019.
Zach LaVine is leading the Bulls this season with 23.1 points and 4.3 assists per game, hitting 46.1% of his field goals and 34.2% of his 3-pointers. Lauri Markkanen is posting 18.4 points and 8.5 rebounds per contest, while Kris Dunn is averaging 12.0 points and 6.5 assists per game. The Bulls’ offensive rating is the worst in the NBA, as they are scoring just 103.3 points per 100 possessions. The Bulls are making 45.0% of their field goals (22nd in the league) and 35.3% of their 3-point attempts. They are allowing 112.1 points per 100 possessions (22nd) on 46.6% shooting from the field (21st) and 35.8% from beyond the arc (tied-15th).
- 0-4 SU and ATS in the last four home meetings with Milwaukee
- 1-6 SU and 3-4 ATS in the last seven home encounters with the Central Division
- Over is 5-1 in the last six games overall
- 10-2 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 games on the road
- 4-1 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in the last five road meetings with the Central Division
- Under is 6-4 in the last ten games overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
After missing the previous game due to a sore knee, Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for tonight’s game. If he suits up, the Bucks should easily roll over the Bulls, but Giannis’ eventual absence could be complicating the things. Still, the Bucks are fighting for the top spot in the league, while the Bulls are buying lottery picks, so I’m backing the visitors to grab a win and hopefully cover the spread along the way. Even if they miss their best player, the Bucks should have enough firepower, especially on the defensive end.
Prediction: Milwaukee Bucks -12.0 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The Bulls have been on fire offensively, dropping at least 118 points in each of their last four outings, but they’ve played against some poor defensive teams. They will meet the best defense in the league on this one, so I doubt their chances to replicate those offensive displays. The Bucks will need their best D if they play without Antetokounmpo, so I’m backing the under.
Prediction: Under 228.5 points (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Bulls’ last six losses came by nine or fewer points which is an interesting fact. On the other side, the Bucks’ last four wins came by 15 or more points. I’m backing the Bucks to cover a double-digit spread tonight and finally get the Bulls a heavy loss, so I’ll take the Bucks and the winning margin, trying to earn some greater wages.
Prediction: Winning Margin: Milwaukee Bucks by 11-15 points (+400)
Half-Time Side Pick
The Bucks were leading at halftime in four of their last five outings, losing only to Orlando when Giannis Antetokounmpo was sidelined. On the other side, the Bulls were trailing by 15 points in their previous outing at home against the Wizards, but they were leading at halftime in four of their previous five games overall. The problems begin in the second half for the Bulls, so I’m backing them to stay close on this one in front of the home audience.
Prediction: Chicago Bulls +6.5 (-110)