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San Antonio Spurs vs. Memphis Grizzlies
NBA: Tuesday, February 12, 2019, FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennessee, 8:00 PM ET
The Southwest Division showdown from FedEx Forum in Memphis, Tennessee, will see the San Antonio Spurs going against the Memphis Grizzlies for the fourth time this season. The Grizzlies lead the series 2-1 including a 96-86 win in the previous duel in Tennessee. They are sitting at the 14th spot of the Western Conference table 8.5 games behind the Spurs who are the No. 7 seed at the moment, just one game ahead of the 9th-placed Kings.
The Spurs need to snap their four-game skid
The San Antonio Spurs (32-26; 31-27 ATS) are in serious crisis, losing four games in a row including a heavy 125-105 defeat at the Utah Jazz this past Saturday. The Spurs are on a tough eight-game road trip and the first four matchups have shown some serious problems as they are allowing 130.0 points per contest during that span. San Antonio is 3-4 straight up and 0-7 ATS in its last seven games overall, while the Spurs are 3-7 straight up and 4-6 ATS in their last ten showings away from home.
DeMar DeRozan is leading the Spurs this season, averaging 21.6 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per contest, spending a lot of time at PG for the first time in his career. LaMarcus Aldridge is posting 21.0 points and 9.0 rebounds per game, while Rudy Guy is tallying 14.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per outing. The Spurs are scoring 113.2 points per 100 possessions (6th in the league) on 48.0% shooting from the field (tied-2nd) and 40.6% from beyond the arc (1st). They are allowing 112.2 points per 100 possessions (24th) on 47.0% shooting from the field (23rd) and 36.1% from beyond the arc (21st).
After trading Marc Gasol away, the Grizzlies entered the rebuilding process
The Memphis Grizzlies (23-34; 25-31-1 ATS) have decided to tank the rest of the season, trading Marc Gasol to Toronto in exchange for Jonas Valanciunas, Delon Wright, and C.J. Miles. However, the Grizzlies have won three of their last four games including a 99-90 home victory over the New Orleans Pelicans Saturday night, as the Pelicans are another team who would like to lose all its games until the end of the season. The Grizzlies are 4-6 straight up and 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games overall, while they are 3-5 straight up and 4-4 ATS in the last eight showings on the home court.
The experienced PG Mike Conley is leading the Grizzlies this season, recording 20.1 points and 6.4 assists per contest. The rookie forward Jaren Jackson Jr. is posting 13.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.4 blocks per game, while Kyle Anderson is tallying 8.0 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists a night. The Grizzlies are scoring 104.0 points per 100 possessions (29th in the league) on 44.9% shooting from the field (25th) and 33.8% from beyond the arc (27th). They are surrendering 107.2 points in a return (6th) on 44.8% shooting from the field (5th) and 35.9% from beyond the arc (18th).
- 4-3 SU and ATS in the last seven home meetings with the Southwest Division
- 2-6 SU and 4-4 ATS in the last eight meetings with the Western Conference
- Under is 9-3 in the last 12 games overall
San Antonio Spurs:
- 2-5 SU and ATS in the last seven road meetings with the Southwest Division
- 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four road meetings with Memphis
- Over is 9-1 in the last ten games overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Spurs desperately need to break out of their funk and record a win at Memphis, while the Grizzlies don’t need to strive after winning three of their last four games. I believe the Spurs will outlast the Grizzlies, as the hosts need to buy some lottery picks, so I’m backing the visitors to cover the spread and put an end to their four-game skid.
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -3.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The betting trends are not helping here at all, as the Spurs are a sure shot in the over, while the under is often outcome when Grizzlies are playing. Memphis’ pace is the slowest in the league, and that is the main reason why I’m taking the under on this one. Also, the Grizzlies’ offense is pretty poor, so I don’t think they can take full advantage of the Spurs’ defensive flaws.
Prediction: Under 208.0 points (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Grizzlies’ previous five games at home were decided by nine or fewer points, and I expect to see more of the same tonight. The Spurs have dropped four straight games by nine or more points, and they desperately need a win over the Grizzlies. I’m backing the Spurs to grab a win and cover a 3.5-point spread, but I don’t think we’ll see a blowout, so I’ll take a reasonable winning margin.
Prediction: Winning Margin: Any team by 6-10 points (+230)
Half-Time Side Pick
The Spurs were trailing at halftime each time during their four-game losing streak. On the other side, the Grizzlies were leading at halftime in three of their last five games overall along with one trail and a tie at Charlotte. The stats are suggesting the Grizzlies, but I expect to see the Spurs sharp and ready to finally snap their skid, so I’ll take the visitors to cover.
Prediction: San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (-110)