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Tuesday, February 12 10:35 P.M. Oracle Arena in Oakland, California
In the midst of all of the Kevin Durant free agency speculation, the Warriors are beginning to hit their stride. They won their 15th in 16 games last time out over the Miami Heat. They will play host to the Jazz in this high-powered Western Conference game. Utah is also playing good basketball winning 12 of 15. Their most recent win was a 125-105 beat down of the Spurs.
Warriors Hit Century Mark Again
The Warriors have not been held under 100 points since December 14. This was their 26th game in a row that they have reached the century mark. Miami led this game by 10 after the first quarter. From there on out, it was all Golden State. They outscored the Heat 36-23 in the third quarter to take control of the game. They finished 53.7% from the field, and knocked down 13 three’s in the win. The Warriors did damage from the free throw line in this one. They outscored Miami 19-4 from the free throw line while taking 18 more attempts. The big three showed up once again. In this game, it was Kevin Durant who led the way with 39 points. Klay Thompson was second with 29 points followed by Steph Curry with 25.
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) February 11, 2019
After a small hiccup just a few weeks ago, the Warriors are reminding the league who the best team is. They are scoring 119.7 points per game which leads the team. They are third in three-point shooting percentage at 38.6%. Curry is averaging 28.6 points per game while Durant is averaging 27.5 points per game. They have two MVP candidates on this team. Thompson is shooting 40% from three once again this season. The upcoming free agency of Durant has been a huge topic of discussion — especially since the Knicks shipped Kristaps Porzingis to Dallas. What people are forgetting is, the Warriors are going to three-peat, and make it four championships in five seasons.
Jazz Stay Hot
The Jazz were one of the teams that people thought could take down the Warriors coming into the season. They have gotten hot in recent weeks heading into the All-Star break. The Jazz trailed by one heading into the second quarter, but turned the game around in that period. They outscored the Spurs 39-24 in the second to put a stranglehold on this game. The Jazz finished 52.2% from the field. They attempted 41 three’s in the game and were able to knock down 16 of them. Donovan Mitchell did not shoot well, just 9-22 and 2-9 from three. He led the Jazz once again with 23 points, five rebounds and five assists. Rudy Gobert logged another double-double with 21 points and 13 rebounds. The Jazz had all five starters, six players overall, finish in double-figures in this one. To go on the road, and win in Golden State, the Jazz will have to duplicate this performance.
Kid Picasso is always savage 😂 pic.twitter.com/qMttfcC14S
— Utah Jazz (@utahjazz) February 11, 2019
The Jazz are 20th in the league scoring 109 points per game. For a top tier team, they will need to score more. Every team in the NBA is averaging over 100 points. For the Jazz to compete in the tough West, they will need to score more on a nightly basis. They have scored 110 or more points in five of the last eight games. This is a team that does not shoot well, just 34.5% from three, but they have the ability to score in many ways. Gobert gives them a strong inside presence that not many teams have. He is a force on both sides of the ball. Mitchell is averaging 22.4 points per game this season. He is proving that his rookie season was not a fluke. Mitchell will be one of the dynamic scorers in this league for many years to come.
- Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Over is 14-6 in Warriors last 20 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game
- Over is 9-4 in Warriors last 13 games following a straight up win
- Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings
- Jazz are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points
- Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
- Over is 5-1 in Jazz last 6 overall
- Over is 5-1-1 in Jazz last 7 road games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Warriors are starting to hit their stride. They are winners of 15 of their last 16 games. They have won six of the last 10 meetings against Utah. They are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. The big three in Golden State is healthy, and playing their best basketball heading into the break. It seems like they went through their miniature funk for the season, and are here to prove who the best team in basketball is. What better way to do that than to take down another strong team in the West? The Warriors should end up winning this game by double-digits.
Prediction: Warriors -8.5
Full-Game Total Pick
This number is not as high as I expected it to be. The Warriors have scored 100 points in 26 straight games. 12 of their last 17 games have been over 120, eight of those over 130, and six over 140 points. They are hitting their stride, and it is scary. Six of the last 10 match ups between these teams have gone over. Warriors’ games are usually inflated, but this number is a little lower than usual. The Jazz are also scoring above their average in recent weeks. This will be an entertaining game, and one worth staying up for on the East coast. Expect a ton of points, and a ton of three’s in this one.
Prediction: Over 228