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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Prediction,
and Odds - 3-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#581 Milwaukee
Bucks -5
#582 Miami
Heat 221

Friday, March 15, 2019 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Bucks

51 - 17


Miami Heat

32 - 35


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Where: American Airlines Arena, Miami Florida

When: Friday March 15, 2019 8:00pm Eastern

We have a National Basketball Association, Eastern Conference match-up to consider when the Milwaukee Bucks travel to Miami for a contest with the Miami Heat. Milwaukee has a three-game lead over second place Toronto and the Heat have a 1.5 game lead over ninth seed Orlando. This should be a terrific contest and I’m pleased to be previewing this game for you today.

Bucks are the Top of the Heap in the East

Milwaukee being the top seed is only a surprise to those who haven’t watched them play much and underestimated what Head Coach Mike Budenholzer can do. And what he does best is coach basketball. The Bucks are the first team in the NBA to win 50 games, and their conference record of 13-1 and plus 9.2-point differential says one thing; the Milwaukee Bucks know how to handle their business and the rest of the NBA had better take notice.

The Bucks aren’t listing anyone on their injury report for their game with Miami.

Milwaukee has split their four-game series with Miami at one game apiece, with the home side winning both games. The Bucks have a road record of 24-12 and are hoping to improve upon a one-game losing streak.

Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in several categories, including points (27), rebounds (12) and assists (5.9) this season. Antetokounmpo has met or exceeded his scoring average twice in the last five games.

Over their last five games, Milwaukee is scoring an average of 119.4 points per game with 10.2 offensive rebounds, 42 defensive rebounds and 22.8 assists per game.

Miami Peaking at Right Time

What seemed like the Heat season being dedicated to the Dwayne Wade farewell tour has turned into the Miami Heat making a playoff push and it’s time to once again take Miami seriously. The Heat are healthy or darn near getting there for the past couple of weeks and no longer need to traipse out their G-League team. And that matters in the NBA. The Heat have a .500 record against their division rivals (6-6) and a zero-point differential; I think the Heat mean business in the final season of Wade’s long and illustrious career.

The Heat aren’t reporting any injuries for their contest with Milwaukee.

The two sides have split their season series at 1-1 with the home side winning both games. The Heat have a home record of 16-19 and are hoping to extend a one-game winning streak.

Josh Richardson leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 17.2 points per game with four assists and 3.6 rebounds per game. Richardson drains three triples per night and has exceeded his scoring average twice in the past five games.

Over their past five games, the Heats are scoring an average of 108.6 points per game with 12 offensive rebounds, 32.6 defensive boards and 24.4 assists per game.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I am a huge fan of Antetokounmpo and what the Bucks are doing, but seven points is too many to lay against a Miami Heat side that is fully healthy and beginning to hit their stride in time for a playoff push. Miami has won four of their last five home games and have looked dang good doing so. I don’t see the Bucks being able to have their way with Miami on the boards as they have with others over their last five games. As I think the battle will be done on the blocks, I think the Heat rebounding will play a huge factor in this contest. I will play the Heat and take the points on Friday.

Prediction: Miami Heat

Full-Game Total Pick

The way both sides rebound on the offensive end excites me. Especially when I see a low total like this. The Heat can score when they need to and now that Dragic is back, the ball is moving better and players are starting to get more involved in the offense. And the Heat has always been solid defensively, but they will have a tough time with Bledsoe, Middleton and Antetokounmpo on Friday night.

When I did the math and added everything together, I came up with a total of 222 points and thought that might be a bit low. I will be playing the over on Friday.

Prediction: Over 220.5 Points

Phil Naessens

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