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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction,
and Odds - 3-18-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#545 New Orleans
Pelicans 230.5
#546 Dallas
Mavericks -5

Monday, March 18, 2019 at 8:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

New Orleans Pelicans

30 - 42


Dallas Mavericks

28 - 41


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Dallas Monday to face the Dallas Mavericks. Both teams are out of playoff contention and have been playing like it. The Mavs had lost 7 of their last 8 while the Pelicans have dropped 6 in a row. They are both playing out the string at this point.

Pelicans lose in OT

The New Orleans Pelicans are now in free fall after holding it together for most of the season. With Jrue Holiday out and Anthony Davis thinking about his next team, the Pelicans have seemingly checked out for 2018-19. They have lost 6 straight games to fall to 30-42 and have the 4th worst record in the Western Conference. But who they did put on the court played hard in their 138-136 overtime loss to the Suns on Saturday. However, they just found a way to lose. They were leading 136-133 when Josh Jackson tied it with a three-pointer with 2.2 seconds left. The Pelicans then called a timeout they didn’t have, which resulted in a technical foul. Devin Booker made the technical foul shot to give them a 1 point lead. The Suns got the ball back and Pelicans were then forced to foul. They fouled Jackson who made 1 of 2 free throws and that was it. The Pelicans had 9 players score in double figures, including Elfrid Payton who had a triple-double with 16 points, 13 rebounds and 16 assists. Julius Randle added 21 points and 11 rebounds, Anthony Davis had 15 points and 11 rebounds. Darius Miller scored 16, Jahlil Okafor added 15, Frank Jackson had 14, Ian Clark 11, and Cheick Diallo and Kenrich Williams added 10 points each.

Holiday remains out until the end of March with an abdominal strain, while E’Twaun Moore is also out with a quadriceps injury until late March.

Offensively, the Pelicans average 115.8 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA. They shoot 47.5 percent from the floor, which ranks 5th in the NBA, and 34.6 percent from three. They also shoot 73.8 percent from the foul line. They also grab 47.2 rebounds (5th in the league) and 27.1 assists (3rd in the league). With these types of stats you’d think they’d be better, but their defense is poor. The Pelicans allow opponents to score 116 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. Opponents shoot 46.7 percent from the floor and 36.1 percent from three against them. Davis leads the Pelicans with 26.3 points and 12.1 rebounds per game. Holiday averages 21.3 points and 7.7 assists per game, while Randle averages 21.1 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. Moore averages 12 points per game while Payton averages 10.

Mavericks finally win a game

The Dallas Mavericks have just completely gone in the tank as they have been reeling the past couple of weeks. Their 121-114 win over Cleveland Saturday was their first win since February as they had lost 7 straight games coming in. Since February 11, they have lost 12 of 14 games to fall to 28-41. They are a team with a bright future, so perhaps they are looking to the future and not the present at this point in time. Right now, the only thing worth watching is how far Dirk Nowitzki climbs up in the all-time rankings. He had 14 points in the win over the Cavs to pull him to within 3 points of Wilt Chamberlain on the all-time scoring lost. It’s pretty much a lock that this game will be stopped when Nowitzki passes Chamberlain for 6th place on the all-time scoring list. He would need another year to crack the top 5 and move ahead of Michael Jordan. He hasn’t announced his retirement yet, so who knows. The Mavs were led by Tim Hardaway with 22 points and Maxi Kleber with 18 points and 12 rebounds. Dwight Powell and Jalen Brunson added 14 each.

Luka Doncic missed the game with a right knee contusion. He is questionable for Monday’s game.

Offensively, the Mavericks average 107.9 points per game on 44.6 percent shooting from the floor and 34.2 percent shooting from three. They also shoot 73.8 percent from the foul line. The Mavericks allow opponents to score 109.6 points per game. Opponents shoot 46.1 percent from the floor and 34.7 percent from three against them. Doncic leads the Pelicans with 21 points, 7.4 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game. Hardaway averages 15 points per game, while JJ Barea, who is out for the season, averages 11.  Dwight Powell averages 10.5 points per game, while Brunson averages about 9.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I don’t see the Mavs losing on a night when Dirk Nowitzki is poised to move ahead of Wilt Chamberlain on the all-time scoring list. The building will be pumped and the fans will have something to cheer for the first time in awhile. Plus, they are playing a struggling Pelicans team. The Pelicans lead the season series 2 games to 1. The last time they played, they split a home and home back in December but back then both teams had something to play for. Even if Doncic is out, i still like the Mavericks in this one.

Prediction: Dallas

Full-Game Total Pick

Take the under. The Pelicans are usually high scoring, but they are battling injuries and you just never know how many minutes Davis is going to get night-to-night. Dallas doesn’t have a lot of firepower even at full strength with Doncic, so don’t expect a lot of points. The under is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 vs. Western Conference and 5-0-1 in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest. Plus, the under is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 vs. Western Conference and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. NBA Southwest. Go with the under.

Prediction: Under

David Shields

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