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San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets
NBA: Tuesday, April 16, 2019 at 9:00 PM EST
The Spurs took the first game of this series and they now have home court advantage. Their experience showed in the Game 1 win while the inexperience of the Nuggets really showed. San Antonio had lost both games on the road against Denver this season before the Game 1 win. If they can take Game 2 they will be sitting pretty in the series heading home 2-0.
The Nuggets are the 2nd seed in the Western Conference, but they simply don’t have playoff experience and that cost them in Game 1. They need to get back on track in this game or they will be in deep trouble. Denver shot the ball poorly in Game 1 and was very cold from 3-pt land and they have to change that if they are going to get back in this series.
The Spurs are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 road games against the Nuggets.
Good D does the trick
The Spurs took Game 1 on the road beating the Nuggets 101-96 where they played solid defense holding the Nuggets to 42% shooting.
Everyone contributed Saturday night, leading to a road victory in the Mile High City.
Game 1 Sights and Sounds 🎥⤵️ pic.twitter.com/NCPvQKagWx
— San Antonio Spurs (@spurs) April 14, 2019
San Antonio had balance in the game with four of five starters, and five players overall, going for at least 14 points led by DeMar DeRozan, who had a double-double with 18 points and 12 boards. While DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge combined for 33 points they were only a combined 12/36 from the floor, but the other scorers shot the rock well with the team shooting a FG% of 48%. Derrick White, who averaged 9.9 ppg on the regular season, went for 16 points in the Game 1 win and he was 7/10 from the floor.
DeRozan was the leading scorer on the season putting up 21.2 ppg and while his scoring has been down in the last few games other players have stepped up in the Spurs four-game winning streak. This season San Antonio is 17-25 on the road.
In the Nuggets loss to the Spurs in Game 1, their playoff experience really showed. Star C Nikola Jokic turned the ball over in the final minute with Denver down a point and then Jamal Murray missed a jumper and turned the ball over at half court and the Nuggets did not have a chance to tie the game. Denver not only shot just 42% from the floor, but they also only shot a 3-pt FG% of 21.4%. Jokic had the first Nuggets’ playoff triple-double since 1989 and while he had 14 rebounds and 14 assists he only had 10 points. Gary Harris led the team with 20 points on 7/12 shooting and while Murray had 17 points he was only 8/24 from the floor and he missed all six of his 3-pointers.
The Nuggets need more scoring from Jokic and the team needs to play better D as well as shoot the long ball better. This season, Denver is 34-8 at home, but they lost Game 1 in their house and on top of that they have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight home games.
The Denver Nuggets are:
- 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- 0-8 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games
The San Antonio Spurs are:
- 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games
- 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
- 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Nuggets lost Game 1 of this series where their inexperience showed, but I think they will bounce back in this game. They had the most home wins in the NBA this season and they will get the W in this game, However, the Spurs will give them a fight and the game will be close and San Antonio is the betting pick to cover the spread in this game getting 6.5 points.
Prediction: PICK: Spurs
Full-Game Total Pick
In the last five games between these teams, the total has gone Under every time and look for that trend to continue. This will be a slow paced defensive game and a low scoring affair, so in this Game 2 of the Western Conference Quarterfinals the Under is THE pick.
Prediction: PICK: Under