USF vs. Tulane, 01/11/17 - Prediction
Written by: Jason Green
Tulane Green Wave (3-12, 2-8-1 ATS, 7-4 O/U) at USF Bulls (6-8 SU, 5-6 ATS, 5-6 O/U)
NCAAB: Wednesday, January 11, 2017 at 7 p.m. ET
The Line: USF -5.5
To say things are not going smooth for Tulane would be an understatement. They have lost five in a row, have only three wins on the season, and are winless in AAC play. Oh yeah, on top of that their last three losses have been by double digits and their last two have been blowouts. They don’t rank in the top 265 in the nation in ppg or opponents’ ppg and their D ranks near the bottom of the pack giving up an average of 79.5 ppg.
USF is winless in their last three games and they have dropped five of their last six games. Their last three games have been in conference play and like the Green Wave they have lost each by double digits. The Bulls are 5-4 at home, but they are one of the lower scoring teams in the nation putting up an average of 67.1 ppg. The road team has covered the spread in the last four games between these teams.
Shoot the pill Green Wave
In Tulane’s last game they were blown out losing to Memphis 80-59 where they shot a paltry FG% of 33.9% and a 3-pt FG of 22%. They also did not play good D allowing Memphis to shoot 51.7% from the floor. The Green Wave were totally blown out even though they forced 21 turnovers. Melvin Frazier and reserve Kain Harris each went for 15 points and while season’s leading scorer Cameron Reynolds only went for 11 points on 4/11 shooting the other starters struggled big time. These three players are the ones averaging double figures on the season, but none of them is shooting over 43.1% from the field.
A little defense helps
South Florida lost to SMU 84-65 in their last game and it would have helped if they played a little D. In the game they were outscored 44-30 in the first half, allowed SMU to shoot 54.5% from the floor, and 50% from behind the 3-pt line. The Bulls shot an OK 43.9% from the field and had fewer turnovers, but also gave up 15 offensive boards. Troy Holston was the team’s leading scorer with 17 points on 7/17 shooting and two other players for USF scored in double figures. The Bulls have three players averaging in double figures, but could really use Jahmal McMurray, who averaged over 20 ppg in three games this season before being suspended and then granted a request to leave the program.
The Tulane Green Wave are:
- 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss
- 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home
- 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games overall
- 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 vs. American Athletic Conference
The USF Bulls are:
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss
Both of these teams have looked less than impressive in conference play, but the Bulls are at home where they will win and cover.
I dig every sport and the NFL is my favorite. My team is the Redskins and my 2nd favorite is whoever is playing the Cowboys! I am a great handicapper and if you don’t believe me just ask. I don’t just write about betting on games I actually bet on them and I have done well, which is why it is a good idea to follow my picks.
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