Ohio State vs. Wisconsin, 01/12/17 - Expert Prediction
Written by: Brian Spaen
Ohio State Buckeyes (10-6 SU, 5-9 ATS, 8-6 O/U) vs No. 18 Wisconsin Badgers (13-3 SU, 8-5 ATS, 5-8 O/U)
When and Where: Thursday, Jan. 12, 7:00 PM ET, Kohl Center in Madison, WI
Line: Wisconsin -12
Ohio State continues to look for their first Big Ten victory of the season when it travels to 18th-ranked Wisconsin on Thursday night. The Buckeyes are coming off of another loss at Minnesota on Sunday afternoon. The Badgers took their first loss of conference play at Purdue. Wisconsin has won the last two meetings in this matchup.
Foul trouble haunts the Buckeyes
Minnesota continued their dream start to Big Ten action at Ohio State’s expense. The Buckeyes fell 78-68 after never being able to fully rebound from a horrible start to the game — the Gophers at one point had a 31-14 advantage with roughly five minutes to go in the first half. OSU was held back due to a miserable 40.6 shooting percentage, making just 11-of-21 free throws, and committing 26 fouls. Four of the team’s five starters had four or more fouls — two of them fouled out of the contest.
Leading scorer Jae’Sean Tate (14.5 ppg, 6.7 rpg) did his usual thing with 20 points on 10-of-15 shooting and nearly had a double-double with 9 boards. Junior center Trevor Thompson (10.7 ppg, 9.1 rpg) completed the double-double with 15 points and 15 rebounds. However, two other starters, Marc Loving (11.6 ppg, 5.1 rpg) and Kam Williams (10.3 ppg, 2 rpg), held the team back offensively with a combined 4-for-21 from the field.
Senior guards struggle at Purdue
Wisconsin took its first loss of the Big Ten season with a mediocre showing at Purdue, 66-55. The Badgers were held to a miserable 39 percent from the field and went just 2-of-14 from the perimeter. They were also outrebounded 34-22 and couldn’t take advantage of the Boilermakers coughing the ball up 18 times. Sophomore forward Ethan Happ (13.4 ppg, 9.1 rpg) had the best showing with 17 points, 6 steals, and 5 rebounds.
The Badgers had one hand behind their back in the frontcourt with Vitto Brown (7.3 ppg, 3.9 rpg) held to zero points and 0-for-3 shooting as he dealt with foul trouble throughout the contest. Its backcourt also struggled to get anything going. Senior guards Zak Showalter (8.4 ppg, 2.1 apg) and Bronson Koenig (14 ppg, 2.1 rpg) each went 3-for-8 from the field and had 16 combined points.
Ohio State is:
- 8-25-1 ATS in their last 34 road games
- 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Big Ten teams
- 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss
Wisconsin should be able to bounce back from their tough loss at Purdue. The team is able to stifle others by giving up just 59.8 points per game (7th nationally). Considering Ohio State has been impacted on depth with the loss of Keita Bates-Diop (9.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg) recently, that only helps the home side.
Pick: Wisconsin -12
Blogging journeyman and sports handicapper. His passion for statistics, analyzing team reports, and watching multiple hours of sports daily gives him an edge for picking who will beat the spread. Also writes about technology and video games. Hobbies include enjoying life in the big city, spending way too much time on YouTube, and discovering new craft beer and whisky.
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