Our Deep-3 picks are 8-1 this week and we’ve got the latest version right here:
Friday, January 11 9:00 P.M. Kohl Center in Madison, Wisconsin
Purdue will be on the road in this one to take on Wisconsin in a Big 10 battle. Purdue will be playing their second straight on the road after getting blitzed at Michigan State 77-59. Wisconsin will return home after beating Penn State 71-52. Wisconsin is 8-7 ATS this season while Purdue is 7-8. These two teams have split their last 10 meetings and streaks are the theme. Wisconsin won their last match up after Purdue beat them four straight. Before the streak by Purdue, Wisconsin took home four wins in a row. The Badgers will be without Trevor Anderson who is out for the season with a knee injury.
Wisconsin to Defend Home Court
Wisconsin will return home to a place where they are 6-1 on the season. they took down Penn State in their last game. The 22nd ranked Badgers went up 10 at halftime and extended their lead in the final 20 minutes. The outcome was never in question. They shot 49.2% from the field and hit eight three’s. The Badgers did not get to the free throw line much, finishing the night with just five attempts. Ethan Happ led the team with 22 points but did not shoot well from the floor. He was 10-24 in the game and 2-2 from the free throw line.
Last time Purdue came to the Kohl Center, it was an unforgettable night
We've got another big one against the Boilermakers this Friday night
We need 𝙔𝙊𝙐 there with us! A limited number of seats are available.
— Wisconsin Basketball (@BadgerMBB) January 9, 2019
Happ is the senior leader for this Wisconsin squad. He has averaged double-figures all four years at Wisconsin and is looking to finish with a double-double this season. He is averaging 19.3 points and 10.3 rebounds per game. Wisconsin plays a style of basketball that is a lot of in-and-out. Happ can post up down low and kick it out to a shooter on the wing. As a team, Wisconsin shoots 38.5% from three which is 38th in the country. Getting to the free throw line is something that they struggle with. Wisconsin ranks 320th in the country in free throws made and attempted. They excel on the defensive end. They allow 62.2 points per game which is 18th in the country. Wisconsin snapped a two-game losing streak last time out and will look to keep it going against Purdue.
Purdue Hopes to Rebound
Purdue had a three-game win streak snapped at the hands of Michigan State in their last game. The Boilermakers were within three points with four minutes left in the first half but the Spartans went on a 10-0 run to extend the lead. The game ended with Purdue suffering a 18-point loss. They could not find the range all night. The Boilermakers finished 39.1% from the field and hit just seven of 31 three-point attempts. They were out rebounded by 13 and missed 10 free throws. Carsen Edwards was held to just 11 points on 3-16 from the field. No one could get anything going for Purdue offensively.
— Big Ten Network (@BigTenNetwork) January 9, 2019
Edwards is in the midst of a stellar season. The Player of the Year candidate is averaging 24.5 points per game in his senior season. He is shooting 37.2% from three-point range and will look to get back to form against Wisconsin. As a team, Purdue averaged 77.6 points per game and relies heavily on the three-point game. They shoot it at 36.2% and rank 21st in the country in three-pointers made. They are also 27th in three’s attempted. The Boilermakers are already one loss away from their total from last season so they will look to turn their season around any way they can.
- Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- Badgers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win
- Badgers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win
- Under is 10-2-1 in Badgers last 13 Friday games
- Boilermakers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. Big Ten
- Boilermakers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall
- Boilermakers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- Under is 4-1 in Boilermakers last 5 road games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Wisconsin will be home in this game and should have enough defensive power to slow down Edwards and Purdue. The Boilermakers are dependent on the three and Wisconsin defends the three as well as any team in the country. Teams shoot 30.6% from deep against the Badgers. Opponents have not hit 100 three’s combined against them yet and that will make the game plan tough for Purdue. Happ can provide problems down low for a Purdue team that loss Isaac Haas. Matt Haarms stands over seven-feet tall but the experience of Happ can expose Purdue’s defense down low. Wisconsin is ranked and home, they should be able to take care of business against a struggling Purdue squad.
Full-Game Total Pick
The three-point shooting will be a key in this game, clearly. If Purdue is not hitting from deep, they will have trouble scoring. Wisconsin is a strong defensive team and they like to slow the ball down on the offensive end. The Badgers have the ability to dump it down low and kick it back out. They like to run their sets and use the entire shot clock to shorten the game. This does not play into what Purdue will try to do. They will be slowed down by the Badgers defense so points could be at a minimum in this one.