Columbia Lions (3-10 SU 2-3 ATS) at Florida State Seminoles (7-8 SU 5-7 ATS)
NCAAB: Friday, January 12, 2018 at 8:00 p.m. ET
LINE: Princeton -10.5 TOTAL: 145
After a nine-game losing streak Columbia has won their last two games and this is their first Ivy League game of the season. In their last game they tuned up for this conference opener with a blowout win over a D3 school and they are a double-digit road underdog in this game. The Lions rank in the middle of the pack in terms of ppg, but only rank 271st in the nation in points allowed.
Princeton had won two in a row before a loss in their last game, which was in conference so they are 0-1 in Ivy League play and could really use a home win in this match-up. Their last game was a loss to rival Penn and they started the conference season behind the 8-ball in their defense of their Ivy League crown. The Tigers only gave up 62 and 63 points in their two wins before giving up 76 in their last game.
Columbia has covered the spread in their last five road games against Princeton.
Not a bad first half
In their last game, Columbia was at home and beat up on Division III Sarah Lawrence 87-42 where the Lions pounced early and took a 49-9 halftime lead. The defense for Columbia was dominant holding Sarah Lawrence to 24.1% shooting, 21.9% 3-pt shooting, and forcing 16 turnovers. The Lions did not have the best shooting game with a FG% of 40.5% and 29.5% from deep, but their D smothered Sarah Lawrence in the rout. Kyle Castlin and Peter Barba, who is only averaging 3.1 ppg on the season, were the high scorers for the Lions coming off the bench and each going for 16 points. No Lions’ starter went for double figures and in the easy win 14 players saw action. Mike Smith (18.1 ppg) leads three players for Columbia that are averaging in double figures and the other two in Castlin and Lukas Meisner are each averaging at least six rebounds per game. This season Columbia is 1-7 on the road.
Not the best opener
Princeton was on the road in their last game in their Ivy League opener and they lost to Penn 76-70 where they dug themselves a hole in the first half and did not have a good game on defense. The Tigers were outscored by nine points in the first half and for the game, they shot a decent 45.5% from the floor, but they allowed Penn to shoot 51.9% from the floor and had one more turnover (10-9). Devin Cannady led Princeton with 19 points and overall four players for the team scored in double figures, with the bench only chiming in for eight points, including Myles Stephens, who went for 10 points and seven rebounds. Stephens and Cannady are the two leading scorers for the Tigers combining to average 32.9 ppg and Stephens has failed to score in double figures in two of his last four games. On the season Princeton is 2-2 at home and last season they beat Columbia twice.
The Columbia Lions are:
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win
- 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
- 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games
The Princeton Tigers are:
- 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record
- 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games
- 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Ivy League
- 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall
While Columbia has covered the spread in their last five home games facing Princeton the Tigers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last eight games facing a team with a losing record and that is the trend that will continue in this game. Back at home Princeton will get back to playing great D and they will easily win this game, cover the spread, and even their Ivy League record at 1-1.