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Where: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, Indiana
When: Saturday, January 12, 2019 12:00 pm Eastern
The Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) is well underway and Saturday in South Bend, Indiana, the Boston College Eagles and Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Both sides boast above .500 overall records and neither side has won an ACC game yet this season. Someone is walking out of Purcell Pavilion with an ACC victory to their credit on Saturday.
Boston College Has Tough Start to ACC Season
Boston College has lost both ACC games this season; they lost to Virginia Tech and most recently lost at home to Virginia by a score of 83-56. The Eagles were never really in their game with the Cavaliers, but junior forward Nik Popovic had a nice outing, scoring 16 points and junior guard Ky Bowman chipped in with 15 points and three rebounds in a losing cause. The Eagles shot the ball horribly against Virginia; shooting 38 percent from the floor and 28 percent from long range isn’t going to beat many teams nor will getting to the free throw line just nine times and shooting just 58 percent.
— Boston College Men's Basketball (@BCMBB) January 10, 2019
Sophomore forward Steffon Mitchell is listed as questionable for Saturday’s contest with an undisclosed injury. Mitchell is the Eagles leading rebounder and is averaging five points, eight rebounds and two assists per game for Boston College this season.
Boston College scores an average of 75 points and allows an average of 72 points per game this season. The Eagles are shooting 44 percent from the floor, 30 percent from long range and 69 percent from the charity stripe. Boston College is averaging 38 rebounds, 12 assists and 12 turnovers per game this season.
Fighting Irish Still Fighting Despite Being 0-2 in ACC
Notre Dame is also off to an 0-2 start to their ACC season and have losses to Virginia Tech and lost this past Saturday at home to Syracuse, 72-62. It was a good showing for the Fighting Irish, and junior guard TJ Gibbs scored 18 points with five dimes and junior forward John Mooney contributed 14 points and 14 rebounds for Notre Dame. Notre Dame didn’t shoot very well against Syracuse on Saturday, going for 34 percent from the field, 33 percent from three point land and 64 percent from the charity stripe isn’t going to beat a team like Syracuse.
— Notre Dame MBB (@NDmbb) January 5, 2019
Notre Dame isn’t listing any injuries to key personnel for Saturday’s game with Boston College.
The Fighting Irish score an average of 75 points and allow an average of 68 points per game. Notre Dame is shooting 42 percent from the floor, 34 percent from long range and 73 percent from the charity stripe. The Fighting Irish average a total of 39 rebounds, 14 assists and just nine turnovers per game this season.
- Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- Over is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games following a straight up loss.
- Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 Saturday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Notre Dame is the better side here and normally we go with the better team and especially the better team at home. Nothing is on the board yet, but I will probably play Notre Dame on the money line. The Fighting Irish does a solid job hanging onto the ball whereas the Eagles have some turnover issues and in a tight game like I’m expecting on Saturday, those extra turnovers usually decide the game. I’m betting on Notre Dame to win this game on Saturday.
Prediction: Notre Dame
Full-Game Total Pick
I have the total at about 140-150 points and I don’t think Vegas will agree with me, and will possibly open at 135-138 points and maybe throw a hook on it. The sides combine for 150 points scored per game and combine for 140 points. Split the difference and you have a reasonable total to work with. The Eagles play a bit faster than Notre Dame but 137 possessions combined should get us over any total of 140 or less. And that’s where I will be on Saturday.