DePaul Blue Demons vs. St. John’s Red Storm
NCAAB: Saturday, January 12, 2019, Carnesecca Arena, Queens, New York, 6:00 PM ET
Saturday’s Big East showdown at Carnesecca Arena will see the DePaul Blue Demons and the St. John’s Red Storm facing each other for the first time this year. Last season, these two foes split the series, earning their victories on the road, and the Blue Demons smashed the Red Storm 91-74 as 7.5-point underdogs.
Can the Blue Demons replicate the last season’s humiliation?
The DePaul Blue Demons are visiting St. John’s hoping for another upset after beating them on the road last season, but it could be a different story on this one as they are not playing well on the road this term. The Blue Demons have dropped all their three games away from home, losing at Villanova 73-68, Northwestern 75-68, and Notre Dame 95-70. On the other hand, the Demons are coming off a nice 75-74 home victory over Seton Hall to put an end to their three-game losing streak.
The senior guard Max Strus is leading the Blue Demons with 18.8 points and 7.2 rebounds per game on 43.4% shooting from the field and 37.3% from downtown. Another senior guard Eli Cain is averaging 13.7 points and 4.2 assists per game, while senior wingman Femi Olujobi is tallying 10.3 points and 4.5 rebounds per contest. The Blue Demons are scoring 76.7 points per game on 47.6% shooting from the field (60th in the country) and 31.7% from beyond the arc (276th), allowing 70.1 points in a return on 41.9% shooting from the field (104th).
The Red Storm is furious on the home court
The St. John’s Red Storm have been perfect at home this season including an 89-69 victory over Marquette on New Year’s Day. The Red Storm have lost just two of its 16 games this season, and both these losses came on the road at Seton Hall 76-74 and Villanova 76-71 this past Tuesday. The Red Storm had a 39-34 lead at halftime against the Wildcats, allowing 42 points in the second half to drop the game. St. John’s lost the battle on the glass, posting 11 boards less than Villanova (39-28) while taking just eight shots from the charity stripe.
The junior guard Shamorie Ponds is leading the Red Storm with 20.6 points, 6.0 dimes, and 4.4 rebounds per game, hitting 49.5% of his field goals and 40.0% of his three-point attempts. Another junior guard Mustapha Heron is averaging 15.1 points and 5.0 rebounds per contest on 45.6% shooting from deep, while the sophomore L.J. Figueroa is tallying 14.3 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. The Red Storm is scoring 83.9 points per game on 48.5% shooting from the field (35th in the country) and 40.0% from beyond the arc (10th), conceding 72.1 points in a return on 41.6% shooting from the field (96th).
St. John’s Red Storm:
- 8-1 SU and 4-5 ATS in the last nine home meetings with DePaul
- 9-0 SU and 4-5 ATS in the last nine games at home
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 games overall
DePaul Blue Demons:
- 4-7 SU and 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings with St. John’s
- 2-8 SU and 4-5-1 ATS in the last ten games on the road
- Over is 6-3-1 in the last ten games overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Red Storm’s offense is looking excellent this season as the head coach Chris Mullin obviously knows his job which is expected from the former Dream Team member. Mullin’s team is playing at a fast pace, recording 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes (60th in the country) with the 47th-best offensive rating in the country. On the other side, the Blue Demons will try to slow down things, but after some poor displays on the road this season, I don’t think they are capable of beating the Red Storm on the road for the second year in a row. Although St. John’s is just 2-9 ATS in its last 11 duels with DePaul, I’ll take the hosts to cover on this one.
Prediction: St. John’s Red Storm -8.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
As I’ve already mentioned, the hosts prefer a high-tempo basketball and their offense is clipping on all cylinders. On the other side, the Blue Demons couldn’t surpass a 70-point mark in their last three games on the road, allowing at least 73 points in a return. Hereof, I will rely on the hosts’ offense and take the over on this one, hoping the Blue Demons will have a solid shooting night.
Prediction: Over 154.0 points (-110)
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Red Storm has won seven consecutive home games by at least 14 points, but I don’t expect to see a blowout on this one even though I’m backing the hosts to cover. I think the margin will be around ten points, while the Blue Demons have lost three of their last five road games by seven or fewer points, so I’ll try to get some greater wages with the Red Storm to grab a win within 10 and 13 points which seems realistic considering the stats and teams’ current form.
Prediction: Winning Margin: St. John’s Red Storm by 10-13 points (+450)
Half-Time Side Pick
In their last nine showings, the St. John’s Red Storm had a lead at halftime and in seven of those nine tilts, they were leading by at least four points. On the other side, the Blue Demons were trailing at halftime just once over their previous ten outings, mostly struggling during the second half. This is a tough wager, but I will go with the hosts here to cover, hoping they will storm the front on the home court.
Prediction: St. John’s Red Storm -4.0 (-110)