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Saturday, January 12 10:00 P.M. War Memorial Gymnasium in San Francisco, California
The top two teams in the WCC will face off in this match up. Gonzaga will go on the road to face San Francisco. Gonzaga answered a mini two-game losing streak by winning their next six in a row. The most recent one coming 67-36 against Pacific. San Francisco won their 14th game of the season beating Pepperdine 72-69. Gonzaga is 13-4 ATS this season while San Francisco is 8-5-1. The Dons are a perfect 9-0 at home but will face their biggest test in this one. Gonzaga has won the last ten meetings. Seven of those ten wins have come by double-digits.
San Francisco Looks for Home Upset
San Francisco is 14-2 on the season and a perfect 2-0 in conference play. They fell behind by five at halftime in their last game against Pepperdine. They used a big second half to take home a three-point win. They will be facing a team much better than Pepperdine in this one. They shot 48.1% from the field while knocking down six three’s. The Dons were out rebounded in the game, outscored at the free throw line and committed more turnovers but they were able to escape with a road win. The Dons had only two players in double-figures but those two sent in big games. Charles Minlend led the way with 21 points on 6-11 from the field and 8-9 from the free throw line. Jimbo Lull averages 8.9 points per game but got hot in this one. He finished 8-12 from the field with 18 points.
— USF Basketball (@USFDonsMBB) January 6, 2019
The Dons entered this season having won 20 or more in their previous two. They are well on their way to a third straight. They average 77.8 points per game led by Minlend. The sophomore is averaging 15.4 points per game. Defensively, they allow 62.1 points per game which is 15th in the country. Opponents shoot 28.1% from the three-point line against them which is also good for 15th in the country. Overall, teams shoot 39% against the Dons but they will be facing their biggest test yet against Gonzaga.
Gonzaga Ready to Assert Dominance
Gonzaga won their last game with ease. They held Pacific to 36 points including 15 in the first half where they led by 19. Gonzaga held Pacific to a miserable 26.7% from the field and forced 22 turnovers. Josh Perkins was one of four players in double-figures and led the game with 14 points. Pacific did not have a player score in double-figures all game. Gonzaga has not lost four conference games since 1997. The last two seasons they finished 17-1 in conference play. The Bulldogs have been the true conference beasts and they will prove it on the road in this one against the Dons.
Well, when you hold your opponent to under 40…. 🤷♂️
— Gonzaga Basketball (@ZagMBB) January 11, 2019
The Bulldogs allow 67.6 points per game. Over this six game win streak, they have not allowed an opponent to go over 55 points. If they play defense like this, they are going to be tough to beat. In both of their losses, they have allowed over 75 points. Offensively, they are strong led by Rui Hachimura. The junior is averaging 20.8 points and six rebounds per game. He has proven himself as a Player of the Year candidate on the sixth ranked team in the nation. Gonzaga has won 30 or more games in the past two seasons and they think this can be the season that they get over the hump and win that National Championship game.
- Dons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. West Coast
- Dons are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games
- Dons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win
- Under is 5-1 in Dons last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record
- Bulldogs are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
- Bulldogs are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Bulldogs are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- Under is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 overall
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
It is hard to resist a home underdog which the Dons will be in this one. Gonzaga is also a team that can be upset but what they have been doing lately is hard to overlook. Aside from historically dominating conference play, they have not been giving up points. Opponents have not scored over 60 points against them in seven games. They can make life hard for San Francisco which they have done in the past. In the last ten match ups, Gonzaga has been blowing the Dons out no matter where they play. The sixth-ranked Bulldogs should have no problem on the road in this one.
Full-Game Total Pick
Gonzaga and San Francisco are both strong defensive teams. The Bulldogs have not been letting up points to anyone lately. They are coming off a game where they teams barely combined to score 100 points. If they gain a big lead in this one, Gonzaga is known to call off the dogs in the second half. With all factors considering, this under should be able to hit with ease.