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New Mexico Lobos at Colorado State Rams
NCAAB: Saturday, January 12, 2019, Moby Arena, Fort Collins, Colorado, 4:00 PM ET
The Mountain West rivals will face at the Moby Arena on Saturday as the New Mexico Lobos are taking on Colorado State Rams looking to bounce back from the first conference defeat after recording three straight wins, while the hosts are hoping to get another victory after they managed to snap the five-game losing run with a win over Air Force. New Mexico had a bit more success in H2H duels in the past few season, winning three out of the previous four encounters including the last two in Colorado.
The Lobos’ three-game winning run snapped with a home loss to UNLV
New Mexico was on a three-game winning streak, their longest of the season, and two of those three wins were the conference ones but the UNLV Rebels prevented them from making it four in a row. The Lobos dropped to the 8-7 record and are currently sitting in the 6th position in the Mountain West Conference with seven wins behind the leaders Nevada Wolf Pack and two more than the Colorado State Rams.
Sophomore forward Vance Jackson led the Lobos in an 80-69 loss to the Rebels with 14 points and four rebounds off the bench; Corey Manigault followed him with 13 points, five boards, and game-high three steals, Carlton Bragg added 12 points and team-high seven rebounds, while MakuachMaluach also scored 12 points. New Mexico was up at halftime by seven points but UNLV was excellent in the second 20 minutes and scored 45 points, allowing only 27 in return, and although the hosts tried to avoid a defeat using their perimeter shooting, the Lobos hit just four triples on 18 attempts (22.25).
— Lobo Basketball (@UNMLoboMBB) January 9, 2019
The Lobos have the 84th offense in the NCAAB that averages 78.3 points per contest, while their defense allows 76.2 points per game (274th). New Mexico’s rebounding is 105th as they are recording 35.9 boards per game, while they are 140th when it comes to assists per contest with 14.3 dishes a night. New Mexico is 228th in field goal percentage as they have 43.5 percent from the floor and 25th from downtown with 39.0 percentage, while they are the 42nd with 9.5 three-pointers made per game.
The Rams finally ended the poor run of five defeats with a win over Air Force
Colorado State was in a bad form of five straight losses, three of which were by five points or fewer but they managed to snap the poor run with a blowout win over the Air Force Falcons, allowing season-low 64 points in the process. The Rams surpassed the Falcons in the Mountain West Conference standings and are in the 8th place with the 6-10 record, nine wins behind 1st placed Nevada and three wins more than the bottom-placed San Jose State Spartans.
Junior center NicoCarvacho led the Rams in an 87-64 win over the Falcons with 27 points (12-16 FG), game-high nine rebounds, and four assists; Kendle Moore was right behind with 23 points (9-13 FG, 3-6 3PT), game-high five dimes, and game-high four thefts, while J.D. Paige contributed with ten points, five dishes, and a pair of steals. Colorado State dominated from the very start and they were way better in pretty much every segment of the game including assists (25-7) and steals (15-4), while the hosts committed only seven turnovers in opposite to Air Force’s 16.
— Colorado State Men’s Basketball (@CSUMBasketball) January 9, 2019
The Rams have the 146th offense in the NCAAB that averages 75.4 points per contest, while their defense is allowing 76.5 points per game (282nd). Colorado State is the 238th rebounding team in college basketball as they are recording 34.9 boards per game, while they are 222nd when it comes to assists per contest with 13.1 dishes a night. Colorado State is 103rd in field goal percentage as they have 46.5 percent from the floor and 193rd from downtown with 33.8 percentage, while they are the 175th with 7.8 three-pointers made per game.
- 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games played at home vs. an opponent with a road winning percentage of greater than .600
- 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games played on Saturday
- 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
- 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games played on the road
- 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
New Mexico won seven out of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last two, while the Lobos were victorious in two of the past four meetings at the Moby Arena. The Lobos won the last two road games and they are in a better form than the Rams but I am backing the hosts after they displayed excellent performance in a big win over Air Force. The Rams didn’t taste a victory in the New Mexico’s last two visits here and the visitors scored 108 points in the latest clash in Fort Collins but I don’t think that will be the case here.
Prediction: Colorado State Rams -1 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Considering the teams’ respective offenses and defenses, I expect to see at least 150 points here and I am going with over despite the fact that under is 12-4 in the last 16 H2H meetings. However, over is 10-3 in Lobos last 13 road games; over is 7-3 in Rams previous ten home games, while over is 17-7 in Rams last 24 vs. Mountain West opponents and this one could turn out to be a high-scoring affair.
Prediction: Over 156.5 (-110)