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Saturday, January 12 2:00 P.M. The Palestra in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
These two Ivy League teams will face off for the second time in seven days. January 5th saw Princeton defeat Penn 68-65 for their third straight win. This loss was Penn’s third in a row. Princeton has dominated this match up in recent years winning eight of the last 10 match ups. Penn has been strong ATS so far this season going 9-5. Princeton is 6-6 ATS. Penn has been playing without guard Ryan Betley who is out for the season with a knee injury he sustained in the beginning of November.
1:24 2nd | Princeton 61, Penn 59
Timeout Tigers. Myles Stephens achieved his sixth career double-double, now with 11 points and a career-high 14 boards.
Watch the game here: https://t.co/9c51KLC8A9 pic.twitter.com/9Z8RZI15W4
— Princeton Basketball (@Princeton_Hoops) January 5, 2019
January 5th saw Princeton get the better of Penn at home. The Tigers went into halftime with a slim one-point lead which told the crowd that this would be a great finish. The fans were not disappointed. Devon Goodman hit a three with 54 seconds left to take a 62-61 lead. On the ensuing possession, Sebastian Much of Princeton was fouled and made one of two free throws to send the game to overtime. Princeton outscored Penn in overtime 6-3 to take home a win. The Quakers could only muster up three free throws in the extended period.
Penn Aims for Split at Home
Penn had four of their five starters score in double-figures in this game. A.J. Brodeur finished with 18 points to lead the team. Goodman played 44 minutes and finished with 15 point but could not get it going from the field. He finished 7-17 and 1-7 from three-point range. As a team, they shot 41.9% from the field and shot 5-20 from deep. They were hurt by 15 turnovers compared to just seven assists. The Quakers score 75.7 points per game and shoot well from deep.
They could not get things going against Princeton but on the season, Penn shoots 36.9% from three. Aside from shooting the three well, they understand the importance of defending the three ball as well. The Quakers rank 26th in the country in three-pointers made against and 23rd in three-pointers attempted against.
Princeton Eyes Sweep
The Tigers gained the upper hand in this match up when they took down Penn at home in their last game. Princeton used defense in the overtime period to steal this win because for the most part, the stats favor Penn. The Tigers were out rebounded by four, shot a lower percentage and were out scored at the free throw line. They were able to force 15 turnovers which helped their case. Richmond Aririguzoh delivered a 20-point performance on 9-13 from the field. Princeton averages 70.8 points per game which is 256th in the country.
They are led by Devin Cannady who scores 19.5 points per game. Cannady was shut down by Penn in their first match up. He was held to just 12 points on 6-17 from the field and 0-6 from three-point range in 45 minutes. If they want to sweep Penn on the road, they will look for a better performance from their best player.
- Quakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games
- Under is 5-2 in Quakers last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600
- Under is 7-3 in Quakers last 10 overall
- Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Tigers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. Ivy League
- Under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 Saturday games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Penn will be home this week. They took the Tigers to overtime on the road in their last match up and could not make a shot in the extra period. At home, things will be different. Penn is 9-5 ATS this season. They can keep the game close against a lot of teams in the country and all teams in the Ivy League. The Quakers are a strong team that can surprise people, especially at home which they showed when they shocked Villanova at the Palestra. After last week’s game, Penn should feel confident and they will go out to shot that they are the better team. Avoiding a sweep is a strong desire and it is the reason that Penn is the smart play in this one.
Full-Game Total Pick
Last week’s overtime period is a prime example of how this game will be played. Made shots will be hard to come by because these teams will not make it easy for one another. an overtime game ended with 133 total points which is a very low number. This game should be no different. These teams know each other very well and know how to stop each other on defense. Neither team is high scoring so the possibility of a high scoring game seems slim. Expect a well-played game between two good teams where points are hard to come by.