San Diego State Aztecs at Air Force Falcons
NCAAB: Saturday, January 12, 2019, Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, Colorado, 4:00 PM ET
The Mountain West rivals will face at the Clune Arena on Saturday as the San Diego State Aztecs are taking on the Air Force Falcons looking to get the second conference victory after defeating Wyoming, while the hosts are still searching for their first conference win of the season. San Diego State is traditionally a better team in the H2H encounters as they won nine out of the previous ten meetings and are hoping to get their fourth straight over Air Force.
The Aztecs destroyed Wyoming at home to get the first conference win
San Diego State is playing in a hot and cold form at the moment as they are finding it hard to make three wins in a row this year but might have a chance for that after beating Wyoming Cowboys and the playing next two games against Air Force and New Mexico. The Aztecs improved to the 4th position in the Mountain West Conference with the 9-6 record, six wins behind the leaders Nevada Wolf Pack and six ahead of the bottom-placed San Jose State Spartans.
Sophomore forward Jalen McDaniels led the Aztecs in a 84-54 win over the Cowboys with a double-double of 22 points (8-14 FG, 6-7 FT) and game-high 12 rebounds, along with a couple of steals; Matt Mitchell followed him with 20 points (7-11 FG, 4-4 3PT) and six boards, Jordan Schakel added 14 points and seven rebounds, while Devin Watson chipped in with 12 points and game-high eight dimes. San Diego State dominated the tilt from the very start and created a 23-point gap at halftime, making it hard for the visitors to even come close and avoid defeat. The Aztecs were excellent from the floor as they hit 50.9 percent of their shots and made twice as many triples than the Cowboys (12-6), while the hosts also dominated the boards (40-24) and assists (20-6).
— Aztec M. Basketball (@Aztec_MBB) January 9, 2019
The Aztecs have the 118th offense in the NCAAB that averages 76.5 points per contest, while their defense allows 70.5 points per game (156th). San Diego State’s rebounding is 200th as they are recording 35.7 boards per game, while they are 56th when it comes to assists per contest with 15.8 dishes a night. San Diego State is 147th in field goal percentage as they have 45.4 percent from the floor and 25th from downtown with 38.9 percentage, while they are the 91st with 8.7 three-pointers made per game.
The Falcons are still looking for the first conference win of the campaign
Air Force is not playing well right now as they lost five out of their previous six games including the last three, all three in the conference play, and displayed another disappointing performance in the most recent defeat to the Colorado State Rams. The Falcons dropped to the 5-10 record and are in the 9th place in the Mountain West Conference with even ten wins behind the leaders Nevada and just two more than the San Jose State Spartans.
Junior forward Lavelle Scottie led the Falcons in an 87-64 loss to the Rams with 20 points (8-12 FG, 2-3 3PT) and five rebounds, while Ryan Swan contributed with ten points and team-high six boards. Air Force needed more offensive contribution from the rest of the players and even though they were excellent from the floor, hitting 51.9 percent of their shots, the visitors made only four triples on 14 attempts (28.6%). The Falcons were careless with the ball as they turned it over on 16 occasions in opposite to Colorado State’s seven, while the hosts dominated the assists (25-7).
Final: Air Force falls at Colorado State 87-64.
Lavelle Scottie ties season-high with 20 points. Ryan Swan adds 10 for the Falcons.
— Air Force Men's Hoops (@AF_MBB) January 9, 2019
The Falcons have the 318th offense in the NCAAB that averages 66.6 points per contest, while their defense is allowing 71.8 points per game (192nd). Air Force is the 326th rebounding team in college basketball as they are recording 32.2 boards per game, while they are 242nd when it comes to assists per contest with 12.9 dishes a night. Air Force is 80th in field goal percentage as they have 47.1 percent from the floor and 229th from downtown with 33.1 percentage, while they are the 282nd with 6.5 three-pointers made per game.
- 1-5 in the last six games overall
- 1-2 in the last three game splayed at home
San Diego State:
- 6-1 ATS in their last seven vs. Mountain West rivals
- 7-3 ATS in their last ten games following a straight up win of more than 20 points
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
San Diego State won nine out of the previous ten H2H encounters including the last three, while the Aztecs were victorious in six out of the past nine meetings at the Clune Arena. Even though the Aztecs are not playing well on the road this year, the Falcons are in a disastrous form and they will likely have to look for the first conference victory elsewhere. I am backing the visitors to come away with a win and continue to climb up in the Mountain West Conference as they surely belong to the top five teams in the MWC.
Prediction: San Diego State Aztecs -5.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Air Force has one of the least efficient offenses in college basketball and they scored more than 64 points in just one of their previous six games, and although San Diego State’s defense is allowing around 70 points per contest, I don’t think the hosts will score more than 65 here. I am going with under because the rivals didn’t combine for more than 131 points in the last eight H2H duels and this one will likely turn out to be another low-scoring affair.
Prediction: Under 137.5 (-110)