Saturday, January 12 10:00 P.M. Gersten Pavilion in Los Angeles, California
This WCC match up will feature St. Mary’s traveling to take on Loyola Marymount. The Gaels are coming off an 88-66 win over BYU in their last game. Loyola was also victorious in their last game. The Lions took home a 76-64 win over Portland. Both teams have been strong ATS this season but St. Mary’s has been really impressive. The Gaels are 11-6 ATS while the Lions are 8-6. St. Mary’s has won the last 10 meetings between these two teams. They have dominated Loyola, winning eight of those 10 games by double-digits.
Loyola Looks to Win as Home Dogs
Loyola took he a win against Portland in their last game. They went up by 12 at the half and cruised to a history in the final 20 minutes. The Lions shot 48.1% from the field and hit five three’s. They out rebounded Portland by four and also dished out four more assists. They were strong on the defensive end forcing 17 turnovers. Four of Loyola’s five starters scored 14 points or more. Joe Quintana led the way with 19 points. The sophomore is averaging just 7.9 points per game but got hot in this one. They will need all the help they can get when they host the Gaels.
— LMU Men's Basketball (@lmulionsMBB) January 6, 2019
James Batemon leads this offense that score 71.1 points per game. The senior is averaging 18.4 points per game this season. He has scored in double-figures all but one game this season. The Lions rank 10th in the country allowing 60.6 points per game to opponents. They are not a strong three-point shooting team. They shoot 31.3% from deep and rank 326th in three-pointers made. The Lions have knocked down just 88 triples on the year.
St. Mary’s Searches for Consistency
The Gaels are 10-7 on the year and have split their last six games. The last one was a blowout win against BYU. They went ahead by 10 at halftime and were able to extend in the second half. In the end, it was a 22-point win for St. Mary’s. They shot 54.8% from the field and knocked down nine three’s in the win. They forced 13 turnovers from the Cougars. Jordan Ford delivered another strong game with 23 points. Malik Fitts added 18 points of his own and grabbed eight rebounds.
— TheW.tv (@TheWtv) January 6, 2019
Ford has been a leader for the Gaels all season long. The junior is averaging 22.4 points per game. He has gone over 20 points in 12 games so far this season. The Gael have won 20 or more games in 11 straight seasons. They still have a chance to get to that number this season but it will take a winning streak. This is an important game for them moving forward. They allow 66.5 points per game to opponents. The Gaels are the 20th ranked team in the country in regards to three-point shooting percentage. They shoot 39.4% from downtown.
- Lions are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games
- Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall
- Under is 8-2-1 in Lions last 11 games following a straight up win
- Gaels are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win
- Gaels are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Saturday games
- Under is 10-3 in Gaels last 13 Saturday games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Loyola Marymount is a strong team that has won a lot of games this season. They will be a home dog in this game and it is an intriguing play. The Gaels have had their number and it is something that the Lions have had their eyes on. This is a game they have to have circled on their calendars. St. Mary’s has been a strong team in the conference for many years but this is a different team this year who can be upset on the road in this one.
Prediction: Loyola Marymount +5
Full-Game Total Pick
These two teams have a lot in common. They both average in the low 70’s per game. They are both strong defensively and they know each other very well. Loyola is not a strong three-point shooting team which is never a good sign for an over. For Loyola to pull off this upset, they will need to play a low scoring game. These teams are very similar and one would think that Loyola would be favored but since they are not, this will have to be won on defense by the Lions.
Prediction: Under 131