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Saturday, January 12 2:00 P.M. Lloyd Noble Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
This Big 12 match up features two teams who suffered rare losses in their last games. 25th ranked TCU will be on the road to test 23rd ranked Oklahoma. The Sooners lost their last game 66-59 against the eighth-ranked Texas Tech Red Raiders. TCU was taken down by conference powerhouse Kansas. The seventh-ranked Jayhawks took down TCU 77-68. If you have bet Oklahoma every game this season, you are doing pretty well. The Sooners are 12-1-2 ATS this season which is incredible. TCU comes in at 8-6 ATS. Oklahoma has had the Horned Frogs number in recent years winning eight of the last 10 match ups. TCU has two players questionable for Saturday’s game. Jaylen Fisher (knee) and Yuat Alok (hand) are both uncertain to play against Oklahoma.
Oklahoma to Defend Home Court
Oklahoma ran into a powerhouse in Texas Tech but held their own in the first half. They led 35-31 after the first 20 minutes but got blitzed from there on out. They were held to just 24 points in the second half against the country’s best defensive team. They shot 32.3% from the field and finished 9-29 from three-point range. The Sooners turned the ball over 14 times. Texas Tech finished a perfect 17-17 from the free throw line in this game. Christian James led the team with 14 points but the senior did not deliver his best game. He finished 4-12 from the field and 3-10 from three. Oklahoma is not the first team to struggle against Texas Tech and they will look to rebound at home where they are 6-0 on the year.
— Overtime (@overtime) January 9, 2019
James leads the Sooners with 16.9 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. They average 74.3 points per game but are very strong defensively. They allow just 66.2 points per game to opponents which is 59th in the country. Opponents struggle getting to the free throw line against the Sooners. They rank 21st in free throws made against and 27th in free throws attempted against. What Texas Tech did from the line is extremely impressive but rare against Oklahoma. Against TCU, they will have to get off to a quick start on the offensive end to wash the taste out of their mouths from last game.
TCU Looks for Signature Win
TCU had a nine-game win streak snapped at the hands of Kansas. They fell behind by nine in the first half which allowed Kansas to play even in the second, which is what they did. TCU kept things even in the second half, the score was 37-37, but they could not creep closer to the Jayhawks. The Horned Frogs shot a better percentage from the field, from three and were even in rebounding. Where they lost the game was at the free throw line. TCU was out scored 20-9 at the free throw line and committed 20 turnovers as well. TCU played just seven guys and five of them finished in double-figures. R.J. Nembhard led the way with 14 points.
— TCU Basketball (@TCUBasketball) January 10, 2019
The Horned Frogs have won 20 or more games in each of the past two seasons and are on pace for another 20+ season this year. They have 12 wins but have yet to pick up that signature win that solidifies them as a ranked team. They had their chance against Kansas and will have another chance in this one. TCU ranks 69th in the country in scoring and 62nd in points allowed. They score 79.6 points per game while allowing 66.8 to opponents. They shot 57.8% from two-point range and take care of the ball well. This will be a real tough match up for TCU on the road in Oklahoma but it is a game they must have if they want to prove they are a real threat.
- Sooners are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
- Sooners are 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600
- Sooners are 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall
- Under is 6-0 in Sooners last 6 vs. Big 12
- Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss
- Horned Frogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12
- Under is 7-3 in Horned Frogs last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Oklahoma is coming off a game that they were shut down. They will look to put out a different result against TCU. With both of these teams begin ranked in the mid-20’s, the loser of this game could be knocked out of the top 25. That is something that neither team wants and Oklahoma will have a little extra momentum being at home. They have the ability to get off to a fast start with their big men and can use experience to out smart the Horned Frogs. The Sooners will be favored in this game and they should be able to win this game comfortably.
Full-Game Total Pick
These are two of the strongest defensive teams in the Big 12 matching up. They have the ability to force bad shots out of their opponents. Also, despite the success of James, neither team has a player who can go for 30 at any point. They use depth to win games rather than one player scoring in bunches. With this method, the shot clock is being used and they run a smooth offense to try and get a good shot. This style of offense plus strong defense is a match made in heaven for an under.