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UAB vs. Southern Miss Prediction,
and Odds - 1-12-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#707 UAB
Blazers 131
#708 Southern Miss
Golden Eagles -4

Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 5:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

UAB Blazers

10 - 6


Southern Miss Golden Eagles

9 - 7


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Southern Mississippi hosts the University of Alabama- Birmingham Saturday in Conference USA action. Southern Miss comes in with a record of 9-7 overall; and 1-3 in the conference, while UAB is 10-6 and 2-1 in the conference. Southern Miss is desperately in need of a win to keep pace. The Golden Eagles have been very good at home this year. Can they turn back the Blazers?

UAB drops first conference game

UAB had been rolling along with wins in its first two conference games, but they hit a roadblock when they lost at Louisiana Tech on Thursday 63-54. UAB shot just 32 percent from the field and 32 percent from three. They also turned the ball over 13 times and only had 8 assists. Jalen Perry had 13 points and 9 rebounds while Zack Bryant had 10 points. UAB got off to a bad start, making only 2 of their first 17 shots and could never recover.

Bryant leads the team in scoring with 12.7 points per game, while Perry averages 11.8 points per game. Forward Lewis Sullivan averages 10.7 points and 5.9 rebounds per game. They average 70 points per game on 46 percent shooting from the field and 32 percent from three.  They average 38 rebounds, 12 assists, and 14 turnovers per game. The Blazers allow opponents to score about 66 points per game. Opponents shoot 41 percent from the floor against them and 31 percent from three.

Southern Miss tops Middle Tennessee

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are 9-7 overall and 1-3 in the conference. They are coming off a 77-70 win over Middle Tennessee on Thursday. The Golden Eagles got 21 points from guard Tyree Griffin and 14 points from LaDavius Draine. Gabe Watson added 12 points for Southern Miss, while Cortez Edwards had 7 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 assists. The Golden Eagles shot 49 percent from the floor and 50 percent from three, making 8 of 16 from deep. They out rebounded Middle Tennessee 34-38 and stole the ball 10 times.

Edwards leads the team in scoring with 13.9 points per game, while Griffin averages 12.9 points per game, and Draine averages 10 points per game. They average 72 points per game on 45 percent shooting from the field and 36 percent from three.  They average 37 rebounds, 17 assists, and 10 turnovers per game. Their 17 assists is 27th in the nation. Griffin averages 6.6 assists, which is 13th in the country. The Golden Eagles only allow opponents to score about 64 points per game against them, which is 27th in D1. Opponents shoot 40 percent from the floor against them and 32 percent from three.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

This game features two strong defensive teams that know each other well. Southern Mississippi has been very good at home, going 5-1 on the season, while UAB is 1-2 on the road. This will be a game that’s decided in the final minute. While the Golden Eagles may prevail at home, it won’t be by much. I like the Blazers to cover the spread here. Take UAB getting the points.

Prediction: UAB +4

Full-Game Total Pick

UAB averages 70 points a game and allows opponents to score 66 points against them. Southern Miss averages 71 points per game and allows teams to score about 63 against them on average. The over/under here is pretty low, despite the fact that these are two good defensive teams. The over is 7-1 in Golden Eagles last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 11-4 in Golden Eagles last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Plus, the over is 5-0 in Blazers last 5 vs. a team with a winning straight up record and 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the over.

Prediction: Over

David Shields

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