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UC Davis Aggies at Long Beach State 49ers
NCAAB: Saturday, January 12, 2019, Walter Pyramid, Long Beach, California, 7:00 PM ET
The Big West rivals will face at the Walter Pyramid on Saturday as the UC Davis Aggies are taking on Long Beach State 49ers after snapping their three-game losing streak with a massive win over Holy Names, while the hosts responded to a tight loss to Stanford with a blowout victory over Bethesda and are looking for the opening win in the conference play. UC Davis was slightly better in H2H encounters in recent years, winning the previous three but all of them were quite tight and two were even decided in overtime.
The Aggies fell short to UC Irvine in overtime
UC Davis managed to snap the three-game losing streak with a big victory over Holy Names but opened the conference play with an overtime road loss to the UC Irvine Anteaters who continue to chase UC Santa Barbara at the top. The Aggies dropped to the bottom of the Big West Conference with the 4-11 record, eight wins behind the leaders Santa Barbara Gauchos and two behind the Long Beach State 49ers.
Senior guard TJ Shorts II led the Aggies in a 71-69 overtime loss to the Anteaters with a double-double of 21 points (9-22 FG) and game-high ten rebounds, Joe Mooney chipped in with 14 points and five boards off the bench, while Matt Neufeld scored 11 points. UC Davis nearly lost in regulation but they forced the overtime thanks to Shorts and Money who made back-to-back layups in a 7-0 run that made it 61-all with 11 seconds to go. However, the Anteaters’ Evan Leonard scored five of his 22 points in the final 1:42 and secured a tight victory for UC Irvine.
The Aggies have the 339th offense in the NCAAB that averages 63.3 points per contest, while their defense allows 68.9 points per game (114th). UC Davis’ rebounding is 338th as they are recording 31.3 boards per game, while they are 314th when it comes to assists per contest with 11.3 dishes a night. UC Davis is 281st in field goal percentage as they have 42.3 percent from the floor and 326th from downtown with 29.7 percentage, while they are the 307th with 6.3 three-pointers made per game.
The 49ers scored season-high 124 points in a blowout win over Bethesda
Long Beach State quickly responded to a loss to Stanford, who ended their two-game winning run, with a massive victory over the NCAA member Bethesda Flames. The 49ers improved to the 6-10 record and are in the 5th place in the Big West Conference, six wins behind the UC Santa Barbara and two ahead of their next rivals UC Davis Aggies.
Senior guard Bryan Alberts led the 49ers in a 124-52 win over the Flames in best performance of his career as he scored 35 points (13-22 FG, 9-16 3PT) and four steals; EdonMaxhuni provided a spark off the bench with 21 points (7-10 FG, 6-8 3PT) and four assists, while Mason Riggins, Deishuan Booker, and Drew Cobb all posted double-doubles. Riggins recorded 14 points and game-high 12 rebounds; Booker had 11 points and game-high 11 dimes, while Cobb posted ten points and ten boards along with five dishes and game-high five thefts. Long Beach State was excellent from the floor (59.5%) and hit even 18 triples on 36 attempts, while they also dominated the rebounds (53-35), assists (32-5), steals (17-4), and blocks (8-0), forcing 23 turnovers in opposite to their ten.
The 49ers have the 161st offense in the NCAAB that averages 74.6 points per contest, while their defense is allowing 76.4 points per game (279th). Long Beach State is the 52nd rebounding team in college basketball as they are recording 39.2 boards per game, while they are 233rd when it comes to assists per contest with 12.9 dishes a night. Long Beach State is 299th in field goal percentage as they have 41.7 percent from the floor and 123rd from downtown with 35.5 percentage, while they are the 209th with 7.4 three-pointers made per game.
Long Beach State:
- 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game
- 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games played on Saturday
- 0-5-1 ATS in their last six when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game
- 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss
- 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Long Beach State won five out of the previous ten H2H encounters but UC Davis was better in the last three meetings, while the 49ers were victorious in eight out of the past ten duels at the Walter Pyramid. Even three of the last four games were decided in overtime and although I think it’s going to be a close one, I am backing the 49ers to get a victory, and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, so I am going to exploit their better form at the moment and bet on them.
Prediction: Long Beach State 49ers -4.5 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The Aggies have one of the least efficient offenses in college basketball that will not help us in winning the over bet and considering the teams’ respective results of late, I am not expecting plenty of baskets here. I am backing under because under is 6-2 in 49ers last eight overall; under is 7-0 in 49ers previous seven vs. Big West opponents, under is 8-3 in 49ers last 11 Saturday games, while under is 11-4 in Aggies previous 15 overall.
Prediction: Under 136 (-110)