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Michigan vs. Michigan State,
1-13-2018 - Prediction & Preview

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#523 Michigan
#524 Michigan State

Saturday, January 13, 2018 at 12:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Michigan Wolverines



Michigan State Spartans



Michigan (14-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS, 6-10-0 O/U) at No. 4 Michigan State (16-2 SU, 11-7-0 ATS, 10-7-0 O/U)

When and Where: Saturday, Jan. 13, Breslin Center, East Lansing, Mich., 12 p.m. EST.

Line: Michigan State -9.5

Total: 134

State bragging rights are on the line Saturday at the Breslin Center, where No. 4 Michigan State looks for its 16th win in 19 home games over archrival Michigan in a Big Ten clash.

Wolverines look to bounce back from tough loss to Purdue

Michigan (14-4, 3-2 Big Ten) had its seven-game overall winning streak come to an end Tuesday night with a 70-69 home loss to No. 5 Purdue.

Zavier Simpson scored 15 points and Charles Matthews added 14 and seven rebounds for the Wolverines, who successfully dealt with an imposing Boilermakers frontline to finish with a 36-29 edge on the boards. But Moritz Wagner‘s foul with four seconds left gave Purdue a chance to win, and Isaac Haas’ free throw sent Michigan to its first home loss in 10 games.

Seventy points appears to be the magic number for the Wolverines, who are 0-4 when giving up 70 or more points but 14-0 when holding opponents under that mark. They have also yet to hold a Big Ten opponent under 40 percent from the field, and the last three teams have shot 42.0 percent from 3-point range and 47.9 percent overall.

Matthews and Wagner pace Michigan’s offense, averaging 15.6 and 13.9 points, respectively. Both are shooting over 50 percent overall and are at 37.5 percent from 3-point range. Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman is contributing 10.8 points per game as the Wolverines are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc.

Michigan’s defense is second in the Big Ten in scoring defense and 12th in the country at 62.1 points per game.

Spartans survive stern challenge from Rutgers in OT win

The fourth-ranked Spartans (16-2, 4-1) may have been caught looking ahead to this game as they needed overtime to fight off a pesky Rutgers team 76-72 Wednesday night and complete a sweep of the season series.

Nick Ward had 17 points and 10 rebounds as all five players finished in double figures for Michigan State, which shot 41.2 percent overall but made 9 of 19 from 3-point range. The Spartans, though, recorded 19 assists on their 21 baskets, with Cassius Winston recording seven.

Wednesday’s win marked the first time in Michigan State’s 11 home wins this season the game was decided by single digits. The Spartans have averaged 94.6 points at the Breslin Center this season, shooting 44.3 percent from 3-point range and 56.1 percent overall while outscoring opponents by 32.1 points per game.

Ward is second on the team in scoring at 14.8 points per game while leading the Spartans in rebounds at 7.7 per contest. Miles Bridges is averaging a team-high 16.5 points to go with his 7.5 boards per game, while Winston is averaging 12.8 points and a Big Ten-leading 7.2 assists.

Joshua Langford (13.8 ppg) and freshman Jaren Jackson (11.1) also are in double figures, and Jackson’s 3.1 blocks per game anchor a Spartans defense limiting opponents to 63.0 points per game and 34.5 percent shooting.


Michigan is:

  • No trends of note.

Michigan State is:

  • 20-6 ATS in its last 26 home games.
  • 5-1 ATS in its last six games following a straight up win.
  • 4-0 ATS in its last four home games as a favorite between 7.0 and 12.5 points.


  • The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four games between the teams.

The home team won both games last season, with the Wolverines hammering the Sprtans 86-57 at Crisler Arena in the most recent meeting to snap a five-game losing streak in the series. Wagner scored 20 points as Michigan shot 60.4 percent and forced 21 turnovers.

The Spartans have won their last two home games over Michigan and 15 of the last 18 between the teams at the Breslin Center.

Pick: Michigan State -10.5

Chris Altruda (@AlTruda73)

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.


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