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Sunday, January 13 4:00 P.M. CFE Arena in Orlando, Florida
The American Conference will send UCF and East Carolina to war in this one. The Knights are coming off a 65-53 win against UConn to give them their sixth in a row. East Carolina was beaten by Memphis 78-72 in their last game. They are 9-6 ATS this season while UCF comes in at 9-4-1. UCF has won the last five meetings between these two teams and they come in as the stronger team to this point.
UCF Hopes to Stay on Roll
UCF picked up their sixth win in a row last time out. They took down UConn thanks to a strong second half. They led 33-30 after the first 20 minutes. They outscored the Huskies by nine and held them to just 23 points in the second half. The Knights were out rebounded by 14 but they held UConn to just 32.3% from the field while they shot 57.1%. The Knights used the free throw line to gain an advantage in this one. They attempted 29 free throws to UConn’s 11 and outscored the Huskies 20-9. Aubrey Dawkins led the way for UCF with 23 points on 9-13 from the field.
#ThrowdownThursday courtesy of Sir Aubrey Dawkins
— UCF Men's Basketball (@UCF_MBB) January 10, 2019
The Knights average 63 points per game which is 24th in the country. Over their six game win streak, UCF has held opponents under 70 points four times. They are giving up 63 points per game in conference play which is first in the American. The Knights have been a strong team all year long. They come into this game at 12-2 and their two losses have been by a combined three points. They will host East Carolina in this one. They have dominated the Pirates as of late and will look for that dominance to continue in this one.
East Carolina Hoping for Road Upset
East Carolina was taken down by Memphis in their last game. They went up by four in halftime but got beat down in the second. They were outscored by 10 in the final 20 minutes. East Carolina out rebounded Memphis by 13 but could not get anything going from the field. They finished 40% shooting and 4-22 from three-point range. The Pirates had five players score 10 or more points including their leader Jayden Gardner. He finished with 18 points on 7-14 from the field. He was right at his season average in this one which is 18.3 point per game. He will have to deliver another stellar performance if the Pirates want any chance to upset UCF in this one.
— ECU Men’s Basketball (@ecubasketball) January 11, 2019
The Pirates score 70.1 points per game while giving up 69 per game to opponents. Nine of their games have been decided by single-digits. Their games have been inconsistent as far as scoring. Over a two-game losing streak, they were beaten by High Point 55-52 and then proceeded to lose the next game 95-86. The Pirates point totals have been a mystery all season long which has led them to just eight wins all season.
- Knights are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record
- Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. American Athletic Conference
- Knights are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall
- Over is 11-5 in Knights last 16 vs. American Athletic Conference
- Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
- Pirates are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record
- Pirates are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games
- Over is 21-9 in Pirates last 30 games following a straight up loss
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Knights have been strong all season and are three points away from being undefeated. They will be home in this one against an inferior team that they should take care of no problem. UCF will be favored in this one. They are 8-1 at home this season and 9-4-1 ATS. All signs point to them being able to take care of business at home. Their one home loss came by one point to FAU. They are a stronger team than East Carolina so this game should not be difficult.
Full-Game Total Pick
During their win streak, UCF has been able to score the ball at a high rate. The under has hit in the last four meetings between these two teams but both squads are scoring well. UCF will be able to get off to a hot start at home in this one against the Pirates. To keep up, East Carolina will have to score if they want to pick up an upset win. These games are traditionally low scoring but this one can hit the number thanks to these high powered offenses.