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The Coastal Carolina Chanticleers will host the Arkansas State Red Wolves in a Sun Belt Conference match-up on Saturday. Both teams are 4-4 in conference play and lost Thursday night.
Red Wolves fall in overtimeAfter defeating Troy 76-68, the Arkansas State Red Wolves played their second straight overtime game but came out on the wrong side this time with an 83-80 loss at Appalachian State on Thursday.
Melo Eggleston led the Red Wolves with 17 points and seven rebounds in the loss. Jerry Johnson Jr. added 13 points off the bench, and Marquis Eaton (13 points) and Caleb Fields (11 points) also scored in double figures. Malik Brevard just missed a double-double with nine points and 13 rebounds.
Caleb Fields, Canberk Kus, Melo Eggleston, & J.J. Matthews in double figures, Arkansas State moves to 10-3 with a win over Freed-Hardeman.— Chris Hudgison (@ChrisHudgison) December 29, 2019
Only 2nd time in program history that Red Wolves get 10 wins before January 1st@AStateMB postgame reaction: https://t.co/8oD3HWUor5 pic.twitter.com/8aJtWAdPNb
For the season, Arkansas State averages 69.7 points per game, shoots 43.9% from the floor and 34.1% from three-point range. On defense, the Red Wolves have struggled, allowing 70.1 points per game while allowing opponents to shot 46.3% from the field and 34.1% from three-point distance.
Chanticleers suffer double-digit loss at homeIn the last game, the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers were able to attempt 18 more shots than the Little Rock Trojans but were still defeated 71-55 at home. The Chanticleers had a miserable night on both ends of the floor. Offensively, CCU shot 23 of 73 (31.5%) from the field and 5 of 25 (20%) from behind the three-point line. Things didn’t go so well on the defensive end either, as Little Rock shot 28 of 55 (50.9%) from the field and 7 of 18 (38.9%) from three-point range.
"Their length really bothered us, but we made some bad decisions and took too many contested shots. We didn't have anyone who played well tonight,” said Coastal head coach Cliff Ellis, following the loss.
The Chanticleers heavily depend on their offense to win. Defensively, CCU is allowing 73.2 points per game, which is 274th in the nation, but the Chanticleers rank 30th on the offensive end scoring 79.1 points per contest.
Individually CCU is led by Devante Jones, who is averaging 15.4 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 5.9 assists per game on the season. Keishawn Brewton is second on the team averaging 14.4 points per game, followed by Tyrell Grums-Frater, who adds 11.9 and Tommy Burton with 11.2 points and a team-leading 6.8 rebounds per game.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Coastal Carolina is outrebounding its opponents by 5.8 board per contest, as opposed to Arkansas State, who have been beaten on the glass with a -0.4 rebounding margin on the season.
Even with Arkansas State's overall record being one game better than Coastal Carolina, the Chanticleers rank 170th according to BPI and 188th in the nation, according to the strength of record (SOR). The Red Wolves rank 283rd according to BPI and 322, according to SOR.
Both teams have struggled defensively, but the Chanticleers have been more successful on the offensive end. With Coastal Carolina playing so poorly at home on Thursday, expect them to be better on Saturday. With the home-court advantage, I will go with the Chanticleers.
Prediction: Coastal Carolina
Full-Game Total Pick
Four of the last five games for Arkansas State have gone over the total. The one game that recently fell under the total ended just one point away from being a push when the Red Wolves lost to South Alabama 75-59, when the total was set at 135. Coastal Carolina has played to the over in three of their last four games, with the exception being the 71-55 loss to Little Rock. Both Arkansas State and Coastal Carolina rate below Little Rock and South Alabama on the defensive end.
The Chanticleers rank 11th in the conference in defensive scoring, and the Red Wolves rank ninth. I will take the over in this game, between two teams who are better on the offensive end of the court and struggle defensively.