Featured Video from Scott Reichel
The Watsco Center is going to be fired up on Saturday night when the #9 Florida State Seminoles take on the Miami Hurricanes in an ACC rivalry game. The Hurricanes are 2-4 in the ACC, after dropping three of their last four games by 16 points or more. The Seminoles are 5-1 in conference play and currently riding an eight-game winning streak overall.
FSU wins eighth straightAfter a two-point season-opening loss to Pittsburgh, the Seminoles have won 15 of their last 16 games. Florida State is holding opponents to an average of 62.6 points per game, 50thbest in the nation, and a 39.6 field goal field percentage, which is 55th best. On offense, the Seminoles average 75.1 points game and are 57thin Division I basketball shooting 46.3% from the field.
Defense turns into instant offense pic.twitter.com/dYXgzi3glN— FSU Hoops (@FSUHoops) January 16, 2020
Florida State has been victorious eight straight games since losing 80-64 at Indiana on Dec. 3. Wednesday night, the Virginia Cavaliers were the latest team to fall to Leonard Hamilton’s squad. Devin Vassell led the Seminoles with 18 points, and Anthony Polite added 14 points off the bench, including making all four of his three-point attempts in a 54-50 victory.
“Anthony exudes confidence,” Seminoles head coach Leonard Hamilton said after the victory. "He spends a lot of time in the gym getting shots up, and, when he shoots the ball, I think everyone who sees him (sees) a lot of confidence.”
Hurricanes dropping in ACC StandingsAfter going 5-0 in December, with notable wins over Illinois 81-79, Temple 78-77, and Clemson 73-68, the Hurricanes have dropped to 1-3 in their games played in January. After falling to Duke by 33 points, and Louisville for the second time this season, the Hurricanes defeated the Pittsburgh Panthers at home 66-58 on Jan.12. The Hurricanes, could not get a winning streak started, this past Wednesday, the Hurricanes took another loss, 80-63 at North Carolina State.
"Once you can't stop a team defensively ... and they get the confidence that they can basically just execute whatever they want, it becomes very, very hard," Hurricane head coach Jim Larranaga said after the loss to North Carolina State.
Three dynamic guards Chris Lykes (15.6 ppg), Kameron McGusty (14.6 ppg), and Dejan Vasiljevis (14.4 ppg) are the keys to the Hurricanes' success. Lykes led the team in scoring against North Carolina State with 20 points. Vasiljevic and 7’ junior Rodney Miller Jr added 16 points in the loss. Kameron McGusty grabbed eight rebounds but was held to a season-low two points in 30 minutes of action.
- Miami is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Miami is 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.
- FSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent from ACC
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Miami is quick and athletic but also the worst rebounding team in the ACC. The Hurricanes are -6.31 in rebounding margin per game, which is 340th in the nation. The Seminoles are +2.94 in rebounding margin. Between rebounds and turnovers, the Seminoles are averaging 6.6 extra scoring chances per game, which is the 8th best in the nation. The Hurricanes rank 273rd, losing -2.6 extra possessions per game. The Hurricanes can't pull off the upset if they allow the Seminoles to get so many extra chances to score. In all six Miami losses this season, the Hurricanes have lost by at least 13 points, with the average margin in defeats being by more than 20 points a game. Expect the Seminoles to keep rolling.
Prediction: Florida State
Full-Game Total Pick
I will take the over unless the total is above 140.5 points. The Hurricanes have not topped 66 points offensively with-in regulation of their last five ACC games; however, the Hurricanes have also struggled to stop their opponents defensively in losses. Even if you completely ignore the Duke game, the Hurricanes are still allowing 79.8 points per game in their losses. The Seminoles scored 78 points in each of their last two road games against Louisville and Wake Forrest. I see Miami struggling to stop the Seminoles second-chance points, and I will take over based upon where I expect the total to be.