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Purdue vs. Maryland Prediction,
and Odds - 1-18-2020

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#657 Purdue
Boilermakers 5.5
#658 Maryland
Terrapins -5.5

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 2:00pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats


10 - 7



13 - 4


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Maryland Terrapins

Where and when: Xfinity Center College Park, College Park, Maryland, Saturday, 2 pm EST

The Purdue Boilermakers travel to the Xfinity Center College Park in College Park, Maryland, for a Saturday afternoon showdown versus the 17th ranked Maryland Terrapins in Big Ten basketball action. Maryland, however, enters this matchup losers of 2-straight conference games while the Boilermakers were able to halt a 2-game losing skid in grand fashion in whipping up on the 15th ranked Michigan State Spartans at home in their last outing. Important to note that the Terrapins are a perfect 10-0 at home this season while the Boilermakers are just 1-4 away from home in 2019.

In head-to-head matchups, the edge certainly goes to Purdue as they have picked up wins in 5 of the last 6 meetings; However, the Terrapins won by 14 points in their most recent meeting (which happened to be in College Park) while also going undefeated against the number in their last 3 games versus their Big Ten foe.

Boilermakers on an impressive run at this point in the season

Purdue’s defense, which allows only 59 points per game on 39% shooting (27% from long-range), dominated the day versus the Spartans as they gave up just 20 points in the first half while surrendering another 22 in the second for the blowout victory. Also, Michigan State shot just 35% from the floor along with going just 2-15 from long-range in addition to committing a whopping 18 turnovers, including 9 by Spartan's star Cassius Winston (who went 4-13 on the night along with 0-5 from 3-point range).

Another defensive effort will certainly be on the menu versus the Terrapins as Maryland's offense will be looking to atone for a night where they posted only 54 points in a road loss to the Wisconsin Badgers. It is important to note that the Boilermakers have only allowed just an average of 60 points to the Terrapins in their last 3 matchups.

Offensively, Purdue will face a Maryland defense that is just as potent in giving up only 61 points per on 37% shooting (32% shooting from long-range). And while the Boilermakers have struggled a bit at times this season on the offensive end, they have posted 80+ points in 3 of their last 5 contests, overall. Led by sophomore forward Trevion Williams at 11 points per game and 8 rebounds, the Boilermakers have also been able to count on contributions from sophomores Sasha Stefanovic (10 ppg) along with Eric Hunter, Jr (11 ppg, 4 rebs) to keep opposing defenses off balanced.

In fact, Williams is shooting 59% from the floor currently while Stafanovic along with Hunter, Jr. are shooting 40% or better from the arc in 2019. Williams also followed up a 36 point, 20 rebound night with another 16 points and 7 boards versus the Spartans.

Coach Matt Painter on Williams, “He’s just a good leader,”. “(He is) tough.” “I think he did some really great things,” Painter said. “Obviously rebounding, if you get 20 rebounds in a Big Ten game that’s pretty impressive.” “He embraces the moment,” Painter said. “The guy’s been in a lot of games for us, and he made some huge plays for us.” Expect the Boilermakers' task to be much more difficult in College Park on Saturday as they will face a Maryland team that is looking to remain in the top-25 while also seeking to avoid its 3rd straight loss.

Terrapins on a slippery slope recently

After winning 3-straight contests, including 3-straight Big Ten contests, the offense for Maryland, converting just 41% of their shots on the season while posting 72 points per game, was really exposed in tough conference losses to the Iowa Hawkeyes along with the Badgers. For one, leading scorer in Anthony Cowan, Jr. (16 ppg, 4 ass) was ice cold in these matchups in going a combined 8-24 from the floor along with a dismal 4-14 from long-range. The senior, nonetheless, remains to Terrapins best offensive option, despite shooting 39% from the field in 2019 along with 34% from 3-point range.

Also, a step up game for sophomore forward Jalen Smith (14 ppg, 9 rebs) will certainly make it easier on Cowan, Jr. as he is shooting over 50% from the floor on the season while coming off an 18 point, 9 rebound night to lead the team in a loss versus Wisconsin. However, neither Smith nor Cowan, Jr. will have an easy go of it on Saturday when facing a team ranked 11th both in points allowed along with opponent 3-point field goal % in the Boilermakers.

Maryland will certainly rely on their overall defensive prowess to keep this game within reach as they are ranked in the top 30 in points allowed (61) along with opponent field goal % (37%). In fact, they have only allowed 58 points per in their last 5 home games. In their most recent meeting with Purdue in February 2019, the Terrapins spotted the visitors 8 points at the half before outscoring them 40-18 in the second thanks to 50% shooting as a team. Purdue, on the other hand, shot 28% on this night, including 21% from 3-point range (7-33).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

While the Boilermakers are a tough team to oppose from an offensive standpoint, they have missed the cover in 3 of their last 4 road games.  And while Maryland has struggled on the offensive end as of late, their 2nd straight loss to the Badgers will serve as a huge wake up call to the 15th ranked team in the country as they will grind out a low-scoring win in this contest on Saturday.  Maryland's defense will be more than up to the task versus Purdue at home and will be a critical component in the team's success on this night.

Prediction: Maryland Terrapins

Full-Game Total Pick

The under has been the play in 4 of the last 5 meetings amongst these two teams.  Also, it has also been the trend in 2 of the last 3 games, overall, for Purdue in addition to being the result in 5 of the last 6 games for the Terrapins.  With two defenses battling a couple of offenses that have struggled with consistency all year long, look for the defenses to take center stage, as the under will certainly be the strong play in the end.

Prediction: Under

Falepa Emme , "The Force"

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa brought his passion for analytics in each of these areas to OUR TEAM here at StatSalt and it will certainly benefit you in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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