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Fairfield vs. Maryland Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 11-19-2019

Game Snapshot with Current Line

#667 Fairfield
Stags
#668 Maryland
Terrapins

Tuesday, November 19, 2019 at 8:30pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Fairfield

1 - 3

13-17
ATS
11-20
O/U
66
PPG
69
OPPG

Maryland

3 - 0

17-15
ATS
14-19
O/U
71
PPG
65
OPPG

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

The Fairfield Stags will continue their Maryland road trip on Tuesday with a game against the Terrapins at the Xfinity Center in College Park, MD. The Stags just played Loyola MD as the first part of their trip. Tipoff is set for 8:30 P.M ET and will broadcast on the Big Ten Network.

Fairfield Struggling on Both Ends

According to KenPom, the Fairfield Stags are ranked No. 282 in the country, five spots lower than where they started the season (No. 277). Through four games, the Stags have notched only one victory, a 68-63 overtime win against New England rival Holy Cross.

While they are 1-3 to start the year, they haven't been blown out yet. Their first two losses were by four (vs. Bucknell) and two (UMass), then after beating Holy Cross, they took Loyola (MD) to overtime before losing 84-75.

Two of their biggest issues are turnovers and poor shooting. The Stags are turning the ball over once every five possessions (20.8 percent of possessions) and shooting just 27 percent from three. On the bright side, they are an experienced group. Their three top scorers are all upperclassmen that are accounting for almost three-quarters of the team's points -- Jesus Cruz (19.5 ppg), Landon Taliaferro (14.3 ppg), and Taj Benning (11.5 ppg).

Terps May Have Deep Run Ahead of Them

After finishing in KenPom's top 50 every season since 2014, head coach Mark Turgeon may have his best team ever at Maryland. The group currently ranks 14th overall via KenPom and has a 3-0 record entering their Tuesday night game against Fairfield. What's more, the group has dominated all three games they have played. Their average margin of victory through three games is 24 points and every win has been by at least 18.

Leading the charge for the Terps is two-time All-Big Ten selection Anthony Cowan Jr., who is now a senior. Cowan Jr. has averaged double figures in all three seasons entering his senior year and is currently averaging 12.3 points per game. What makes him great is his ability to distribute, though; he is currently averaging a career-best 5.7 assists per game.

Four other players are averaging more than 10 points per game for U.Md, including the team's leading scorer, sophomore Jalen Smith (14.3 ppg), Darryl Morsell (11 ppg), Aaron Wiggins (10.7 ppg), and Eric Ayala (10.3 ppg).

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

This is a great spot for the Terps, who have the best collection of talent the program has seen in years. They're dominating opponents, have experience throughout the roster, and make it difficult for teams to have good possessions. In their last two games, one who was against a Top 100 team, they have allowed just 52.5 points per game. Overall, they are allowing teams to shoot 28.2 percent from three while forcing turnovers once every four possessions (23.2 percent of possessions). Lay the points with the Terps here; the Stags are the worst team Maryland has seen this season and they'll treat them like it with another huge blowout.

Prediction: Maryland -26

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

Fairfield isn't a good offensive team, flat out. In fact, in their last seven games, only once have they had a game actually go over. That trend continues here as the Terps will completely shut them down offensively. Outside of their overtime games, Fairfield totals average out to 127 points per game and they haven't played anyone nearly as good as the Terps. For Maryland, they will be up big early, so we may also benefit from Mark Turgeon going deep into his bench.

Prediction: Under 132.5

Casey P.

Casey Pazzalia is a former Division-II athlete and New York native. With nearly 10 years of experience, Casey makes his predictions from a contrarian point of view and has done it all in the sports gambling business. A family man, Casey now has contributed to many sports media outlets and is now a solid addition to the StatSalt team. Casey is more than confident in his ability to help you crush your man.

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