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The Texas-Arlington Mavericks travel to Spokane (Wash.) to take on the eighth-ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs as part of the Battle for Atlantis Mainland. This is the second consecutive year that the programs are meeting as the Zags defeated the Mavericks 89-55 last year. The series is tied at 1-1, with UT-Arlington taking the first matchup in 1982.
UTSA trying to snap two game-losing streakTexas-Arlington is playing its third straight game against an opponent that made it to the NCAA Tournament a season ago. UTA dropped to 0-2 away from home after falling at Oregon 67-47 as part of the Battle 4 Atlantis Mainland Tournament. The Mavericks have lost two straight overall.
Texas Arlington has struggled shooting from the field so far, but the Mavericks have had even more trouble the past two games. The Mavericks have made less than 35% of their shots from the field in each of their last two games. This includes their terrible shooting performance against Oregon, where they set a program record for futility at 23.4% (15 of 64). Overall, UTA is shooting just 36.7% from the field for the season and making 10.2 treys a contest, although they are shooting only 29.9% from long-distance. Sophomore wing Jordan Phillipps tallied his most points versus a D-I opponent with 14 points against Oregon while leading scorer David Azore (10.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists) tallied 11 points marking his third straight game reaching double figures. However, after scoring in double figures in each of his previous two games, 6-9 forward Jabari Narcis (8.3 points, 8.3 rebounds) went scoreless in the contest, although he did pull down nine rebounds.
Bulldogs dealing with bumps and bruisesGonzaga improved to 4-0 for a fourth straight year with Friday's 30 point victory over a rebuilding Texas A&M squad. The Bulldogs recovered from a slow start and a few bumps and bruises to Ryan Wooldridge, Fillip Petrusev, and Anton Watson as well as a poor shooting performance from the team's second-leading scorer Corey Kispert. The good news for the Zags is that none of the injuries were severe, and Killian Tillie (knee) may make his debut on Tuesday night.
🔙🏠tomorrow. See you soon, Zags. pic.twitter.com/ak6Uk1ZihJ— Gonzaga Basketball (@ZagMBB) November 19, 2019
Woolridge scored a season-high 16 points as he knocked down seven of 10 shots from the field to lead the way. Grad transfer Admon Gilder had his best game as a Bulldog against his former team with 16 points and seven rebounds, giving him four straight games of scoring in double-figures. Petrusev, who was named the WCC Player of the Week on Monday, has posted two double-doubles in two consecutive games while freshman Drew Timme along with sophomore Joel Ayayi continues to ball out off the bench. Timme (13.3 points, 4.8 rebounds) has scored 10 or more points in each game, and Ayayi has posted at least seven rebounds, five assists, as well as multiple steals in three of his four appearances.
The following trends are courtesy of Covers.com:
- Bulldogs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games.
- Bulldogs are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Bulldogs are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Bulldogs are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 Tuesday games.
- Bulldogs are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 home games.
- Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
- Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
- Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Gonzaga has been rolling and the Zags should have no problem handling a UTA team that has struggled mightily on offense. The Mavericks have only one win against a nationally ranked team in 33 games. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have one of the top offenses in the nation registering a 131.3 offensive rating as they have recorded a true shooting percentage of 64.8% and an effective field goal percentage of 63.3%. Expect Petrusev, who tallied 14 points in 17 minutes off the bench against the Mavericks last year, to have another big game as well as Kispert, who finished with three points on 1-for-10 shooting against Texas A&M, to bounce back.
Nevada and Oregon's starting backcourts each tallied 47 points against UTA. 5-9 point guard Brian Warren is the Mavericks' weakest defender so Woolridge, who is shooting 64% from the field and 100% from beyond the arc, could have another big game. Gonzaga has won all four of its games by at least 30 points.
Prediction: Gonzaga +22.5
Full-Game Total Pick
I am taking the over as Gonzaga has seven players who can score double-figures in any given game as well as at least two players who can top the 20-point plateau. The Zags will be even more dangerous if Tillie can play, although it will likely take time for him to get into playing shape. Three of Gonzaga's four games and two of UTA's four contests have surpassed the 143.5 point total this year.
The over has hit in four of the Mavericks' last five games against West Coast Conference teams. The over is also 4-1 in the Bulldogs last five nonconference contests.
Prediction: Over 143.5