Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Bowling Green Falcons vs. LSU Tigers
NCAAB: Friday, November 8, Pete Maravich Assembly Center, Baton Rouge, Louisiana, 8:00 PM ET
The Bowling Green Falcons opened the new NCAAB season with a home win over the Division II Tiffin Dragons, but now are massive underdogs against the LSU Tigers on the road. Bowling Green finished the last season with a 22-12 record in the Mid-American Conference.
The LSU Tigers will open this campaign with a home game against the Falcons, and anything but a big win would be a surprise. The Tigers are hoping to take a step forward this season and reach the Elite 8 of the NCAA tournament. Last year, LSU finished with a 26-6 record and in the 3rd place in the Southeastern. They beat Yale and Maryland in the opening two rounds of the playoffs but lost to the Michigan State Spartans in Sweet 16.
Bowling Green secured a comfortable win over TiffinThe Bowling Green Falcons didn’t have problems against the Tiffin Dragons on the season opener, 94-73. After an excellent first half and 52 points scored, the Falcons relaxed a bit defensively in the second 20 minutes. Still, they managed to keep the Dragons to just 36.0% from the floor and completely dominated the boards, 61-33. Junior guard Justin Turner led Bowling Green with 20 points and six rebounds, while Daeqwon Plowden posted a double-double of 16 points and 12 boards. Tyler Mattos had a tremendous defensive display with game-high 15 rebounds and game-high three blocks, along with nine points.
Last season, the Falcons had the 45th offense in the college basketball that averaged 78.5 points per game, and they are facing the Tigers’ 220th defense that allowed 73.1 points per contest. Bowling Green was 5th in rebounds with 41.1 and 249th in assists with 12.6 per game.
LSU is looking to return to NCAA tournament this yearThe LSU Tigers were close to end the last year’s regular season at the top of the Southeastern Conference but finished behind Tennessee and Kentucky. However, they had a relatively good NCAA tournament as they made it to the Sweet Sixteen, where the Michigan State Spartans were a better team. LSU is looking totally different this season. Guard Tremont Waters, who led the team in points, assists, and steals last year, was drafted by the Boston Celtics in the second round of the NBA Draft.
Forward Naz Reid went to the Minnesota Timberwolves, so that left the Tigers with guards Skylar Mays and Javonte Smart to lead them this time around. Mays, a senior, averaged 13 points, three boards, two dishes, and two steals. Sophomore Smart averaged 11 points, three assists, and two boards per game last season. All eyes will be on freshman forward Trendon Watford, the two-time Alabama Mr. Basketball. Watford led Mountain Brook high school to three consecutive Class 7A state championships from 2017 to 2019.
The Tigers had the 27th offense in 2018-19 that averaged 80.4 points per game, and they are facing the Falcons’ 233rd defense that allowed 73.4 points per contest. LSU was 30th in rebounds with 38.7 and 199th in assists with 13.1 per game.
- 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600
- 16-4 in their last 20 games
- 18-2 in their last 20 games at home
- 6-2 SU in their last eight games played in November
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Bowling Green can cause problems to LSU, but the Tigers are heavy favorites with reason. The Tigers suffered just four home defeats in 20 games last year, and even three of those losses came to the conference rivals. That being said, they rarely lose to non-conference opponents, and Bowling Green is not playing very well on the road.
The Falcons lost four straight losses away from home. I would give them some chances if they were playing at home, but in this situation, I am backing the Tigers to get a double-digit victory. Trendon Watford and Javonte Smart will run the floor for LSU, and I don’t think the Falcons can stop them.
Prediction: LSU Tigers -13 (-110)
Full-Game Total Pick
Bowling Green did score 94 points, but it was against the Division II side, and it’s going to be hard for them to score more than 70 in this one. None of LSU’s last ten games produced more than 157 points (excluding overtime), and given that I don’t expect to see overtime in this game, I am backing Under. The Tigers kept the opponents to under 70 points in three of their last five home games. They also failed to score more than 80 in that span. I expect to see around 150 points, but not more than 155. I am going with Under.
Prediction: Under 157 (-110)